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Premier League

Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Leicester

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Arsenal

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 4. · Arsenal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Chelsea	12	8	2	2	+10	26
3	Man City	11	8	1	2	+24	25
4	Leicester	11	7	2	2	+19	23
5	Sheffield United	12	4	5	3	+4	17
6	Arsenal	11	4	5	2	+1	17
7	Bournemouth	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Brighton	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Burnley	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Crystal Palace	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	Newcastle	12	4	3	5	-7	15
12	Tottenham	12	3	5	4	+1	14
13	Everton	12	4	2	6	-5	14
14	Man United	11	3	4	4	+2	13
15	Wolves	11	2	7	2	+0	13
16	West Ham	12	3	4	5	-6	13
17	Aston Villa	11	3	2	6	-2	11
18	Watford	12	1	5	6	-15	8
19	Southampton	12	2	2	8	-18	8
20	Norwich	12	2	1	9	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Man City	6	4	1	1	+14	13
3	Leicester	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Burnley	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Arsenal	6	3	3	0	+3	12
6	Tottenham	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Brighton	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Chelsea	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Everton	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Sheffield United	6	3	0	3	+2	9
11	Bournemouth	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Newcastle	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
14	Aston Villa	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Crystal Palace	6	2	2	2	-1	8
16	West Ham	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Wolves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
18	Norwich	6	2	0	4	-6	6
19	Watford	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Southampton	6	0	1	5	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Chelsea	6	5	0	1	+6	15
3	Man City	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Leicester	6	3	1	2	+10	10
5	Sheffield United	6	1	5	0	+2	8
6	Wolves	6	1	4	1	+1	7
7	Bournemouth	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Southampton	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	West Ham	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Newcastle	6	2	0	4	-8	6
12	Arsenal	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Man United	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Watford	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Everton	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Aston Villa	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Burnley	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Norwich	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.