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Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Inter

T S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Verona

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,8

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 59%

82%

36%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

73%

18%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

3,2

1,6

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 5

13 Shots on target 2

18 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

9 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 2. · Verona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	2	0	+10	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+13	28
3	Roma	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+13	21
5	Atalanta	11	6	3	2	+12	21
6	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+8	21
7	Napoli	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Verona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Parma	11	4	2	5	+1	14
11	Torino	12	4	2	6	-2	14
12	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	+0	13
13	Milan	11	4	1	6	-4	13
14	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-10	13
15	Bologna	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Lecce	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Sampdoria	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Brescia	11	2	1	8	-10	7
20	Spal	11	2	1	8	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Roma	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	+3	9
8	Parma	6	3	0	3	+2	9
9	Udinese	6	3	0	3	-4	9
10	Verona	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Fiorentina	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
14	Bologna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Genoa	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Spal	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Milan	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
19	Lecce	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Brescia	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+4	14
4	Roma	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Cagliari	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Lazio	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Lecce	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Verona	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Milan	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Torino	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Brescia	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Parma	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Sampdoria	6	1	0	5	-8	3
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-11	1
20	Spal	5	0	0	5	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.