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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Alaves

T S T U T

3–0

Full-time

Valladolid

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 16. · Valladolid 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+7	23
2	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+15	22
3	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+12	22
4	Ath Madrid	12	5	6	1	+5	21
5	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Granada	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Getafe	12	5	4	3	+3	19
8	Villarreal	12	5	3	4	+9	18
9	Osasuna	12	4	6	2	+3	18
10	Ath Bilbao	12	4	5	3	+4	17
11	Levante	12	5	2	5	+1	17
12	Valladolid	12	4	5	3	+0	17
13	Valencia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
14	Eibar	12	4	3	5	-3	15
15	Betis	12	3	4	5	-7	13
16	Alaves	12	3	3	6	-7	12
17	Mallorca	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Celta	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Espanol	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Leganes	13	1	3	9	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+9	12
5	Osasuna	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
7	Granada	6	4	0	2	+3	12
8	Getafe	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Levante	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Betis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
12	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+5	10
15	Valencia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
16	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
17	Eibar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
18	Celta	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-6	4
20	Espanol	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+2	13
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	9
4	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Granada	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Getafe	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Villarreal	6	2	0	4	+0	6
12	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Eibar	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Celta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
18	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
19	Alaves	6	0	1	5	-11	1
20	Mallorca	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.