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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

S T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Hamburg

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

33%

58%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,4

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

2 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 12. · Hamburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	12	7	4	1	+18	25
2	Bielefeld	12	7	4	1	+11	25
3	Stuttgart	12	7	2	3	+3	23
4	Erzgebirge Aue	12	5	4	3	+1	19
5	Greuther Furth	12	5	3	4	-1	18
6	Heidenheim	12	4	5	3	+3	17
7	Regensburg	12	4	4	4	+4	16
8	St Pauli	13	3	6	4	+0	15
9	Karlsruhe	12	3	6	3	-2	15
10	Sandhausen	12	3	5	4	-1	14
11	Nurnberg	12	3	5	4	-2	14
12	Holstein Kiel	12	4	2	6	-3	14
13	Hannover	12	3	5	4	-4	14
14	Darmstadt	12	3	5	4	-4	14
15	Osnabruck	12	3	4	5	+1	13
16	Bochum	13	2	7	4	-2	13
17	Dresden	13	3	3	7	-10	12
18	Wehen	13	2	4	7	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Stuttgart	7	5	0	2	+5	15
3	Erzgebirge Aue	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Greuther Furth	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	St Pauli	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Heidenheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Dresden	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Darmstadt	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Bielefeld	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Sandhausen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Osnabruck	6	2	2	2	+4	8
12	Bochum	6	1	5	0	+2	8
13	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Regensburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Holstein Kiel	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Nurnberg	6	1	4	1	-3	7
17	Wehen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Hannover	6	0	4	2	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Hamburg	6	2	3	1	+4	9
4	Regensburg	6	2	2	2	+4	8
5	Stuttgart	5	2	2	1	-2	8
6	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Heidenheim	6	1	4	1	+1	7
8	Karlsruhe	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Holstein Kiel	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Wehen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Sandhausen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Osnabruck	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Bochum	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Erzgebirge Aue	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Darmstadt	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	St Pauli	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Dresden	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.