Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Hearts
St Mirren
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 3–2
The table before the match Hearts 11. · St Mirren 12. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +27 | 28 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +26 | 28 |
| 3 |
Motherwell
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 |
Aberdeen
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 |
Kilmarnock
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 |
Ross County
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -11 | 14 |
| 7 |
Livingston
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Hamilton
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 |
ST Johnstone
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 10 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 |
Hearts
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |
St Mirren
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Recent head-to-head meetings
28. Sep -19 St Mirren – Hearts 0–0Match report
Line-ups
Hearts
3-4-3
A. Hickey
D
Bench (7)
Coach: A. MacPhee
St Mirren
4-2-3-1
S. McLoughlin
D
Bench (7)
Coach: J. Goodwin
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Hearts
Livingston
Hearts
Hearts
Rangers
Hearts
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
Hearts
Referee
E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.