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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Kilmarnock
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Hamilton
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
12 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kilmarnock 5. · Hamilton 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 9 1 1 +27 28
2 Rangers 11 9 1 1 +26 28
3 Motherwell 12 7 1 4 +3 22
4 Aberdeen 12 6 3 3 +3 21
5 Kilmarnock 12 5 2 5 -3 17
6 Ross County 12 3 5 4 -11 14
7 Livingston 12 3 4 5 -1 13
8 Hamilton 12 2 4 6 -10 10
9 ST Johnstone 11 2 4 5 -13 10
10 Hibernian 11 1 6 4 -10 9
11 Hearts 11 1 5 5 -5 8
12 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -19 Hamilton – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Hamilton
2′
⚽ M. Miller 0–1
25′
⚽ S. Davies 0–2
M. Miller
29′
🟥 Sam Stubbs
31′
🔁 D. MacKinnon
↦ S. Davies
Eamonn Brophy 🟨
38′
S. Jackson 🔁
↦ A. Bruce
41′
43′
🟨 Darian Mackinnon
Half-time 1–2
1–2 M. El Makrini ⚽
R. McKenzie
47′
2–2 E. Brophy ⚽
G. Dicker
48′
C. Burke 🔁
↦ D. Thomas
69′
75′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ G. Oakley
L. Millar 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
77′
86′
🔁 M. Fjørtoft
↦ L. Smith
90′
🟨 Owain Fôn Williams
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
12 L. Brănescu G
4 A. Bruce D
2 S. O'Donnell D
26 D. Del Fabro D
14 N. Hamalainen D
15 M. El Makrini M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
23 D. Thomas M
7 R. McKenzie F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
16 S. Jackson
29 C. Burke
11 L. Millar
24 J. Koprivec
25 H. St Clair
3 S. Hendrie
20 I. Wilson

Coach: A. Alessio

Hamilton

4-1-3-2
1 O. Williams G
6 J. Hunt D
13 A. Gogić M
3 S. McMann D
21 S. Want D
26 S. Stubbs D
40 J. Hamilton M
28 L. Smith M
8 S. Davies F
9 G. Oakley M
11 M. Miller F
Bench (7)
18 D. MacKinnon
20 D. Moyo
5 M. Fjørtoft
33 R. Mimnaugh
14 R. Cunningham
31 L. Southwood
17 A. Beck

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
🔒
U ✓
3,78
🔒
B
5,92
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,22
🔒
U2,5
1,65
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.