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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Brest

T S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 54%

33%

75%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

33%

58%

Both score Ø 34%

42%

25%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,1

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

17 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 9. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	0	3	+19	27
2	Angers	12	6	2	4	+1	20
3	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+3	19
4	Nantes	12	6	1	5	+0	19
5	Marseille	12	5	4	3	-2	19
6	Lille	12	5	3	4	+5	18
7	Reims	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	St Etienne	12	5	3	4	-3	18
9	Brest	12	4	5	3	-1	17
10	Nice	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
12	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
13	Amiens	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+1	15
15	Monaco	12	4	3	5	-3	15
16	Dijon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
18	Toulouse	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Metz	12	3	3	6	-7	12
20	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+14	15
4	Montpellier	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Brest	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Nice	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Reims	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Toulouse	6	3	0	3	-1	9
15	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
16	Bordeaux	6	2	2	2	+2	8
17	Metz	6	2	2	2	+1	8
18	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
19	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
20	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
2	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Reims	6	3	0	3	+1	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
8	Amiens	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Nantes	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Brest	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Nimes	6	0	4	2	-4	4
14	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Angers	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Toulouse	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Lille	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Strasbourg	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.