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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
66%
Points per game
2,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
62%
41%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Sandefjord 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 29 24 4 1 +40 76
2 Sandefjord 29 19 8 2 +25 65
3 Start 29 18 5 6 +21 59
4 Nest-Sotra 29 14 6 9 +13 48
5 KFUM Oslo 29 12 9 8 +15 45
6 Sogndal 29 13 6 10 +13 45
7 Kongsvinger 29 13 4 12 +0 43
8 Sandnes ULF 29 11 5 13 +0 38
9 Raufoss 29 12 2 15 -11 38
10 Ull/Kisa 29 10 6 13 -2 36
11 Ham-Kam 29 10 5 14 -5 35
12 Jerv 29 8 9 12 -18 33
13 Strommen 29 6 10 13 -17 28
14 Notodden 29 6 7 16 -16 25
15 Skeid 29 3 10 16 -17 19
16 Tromsdalen Uil 29 3 4 22 -41 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.