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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Paderborn

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Augsburg

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 10%

10%

Points per game

0,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

80%

70%

Both score Ø 75%

70%

80%

Average goals

3,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

2,5

2,4

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 18. · Augsburg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	10	7	1	2	+11	22
2	Hoffenheim	11	6	2	3	+2	20
3	Dortmund	10	5	4	1	+12	19
4	RB Leipzig	10	5	3	2	+15	18
5	Bayern Munich	10	5	3	2	+9	18
6	Freiburg	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Schalke 04	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Wolfsburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Werder Bremen	10	2	5	3	-4	11
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Union Berlin	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Mainz	10	3	0	7	-17	9
16	Augsburg	10	1	4	5	-12	7
17	FC Koln	11	2	1	8	-13	7
18	Paderborn	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+9	10
4	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Leverkusen	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Hoffenheim	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Union Berlin	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	RB Leipzig	5	2	2	1	+7	8
10	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Schalke 04	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Hertha	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	FC Koln	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Paderborn	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+2	11
3	RB Leipzig	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Dortmund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-8	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Mainz	6	1	0	5	-17	3
16	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Paderborn	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.