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OBOS-ligaen
Sandefjord
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Jerv
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
64%
29%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sandefjord 2. · Jerv 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 28 23 4 1 +39 73
2 Sandefjord 28 18 8 2 +24 62
3 Start 28 17 5 6 +20 56
4 Nest-Sotra 28 14 6 8 +14 48
5 Kongsvinger 28 13 4 11 +1 43
6 KFUM Oslo 28 11 9 8 +12 42
7 Sogndal 28 12 6 10 +10 42
8 Raufoss 28 12 2 14 -8 38
9 Ull/Kisa 28 10 6 12 -1 36
10 Sandnes ULF 28 10 5 13 -1 35
11 Ham-Kam 28 10 5 13 -2 35
12 Jerv 28 8 9 11 -17 33
13 Strommen 28 6 10 12 -14 28
14 Notodden 28 6 6 16 -16 24
15 Skeid 28 3 9 16 -17 18
16 Tromsdalen Uil 28 2 4 22 -44 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Jerv
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Rufo Herraiz
54′
58′
🟨 T. Wichne
64′
🔁 M. Baidoo
↦ J. Solli
67′
🔁 A. Okachi
↦ O. Håbestad
68′
🟨 T. Zernichow
W. Kurtović 🔁
↦ E. Mjelde
73′
M. Hoibraaten 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 L. Ferreira
Marc Vales 🔁
↦ E. Pálsson
86′
V. Jonsson 🟨
87′
R. Herraiz 🟨
87′
G. Gibson 🔁
↦ Rufo Herraiz
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sandefjord

1 J. Storevik
2 L. Grorud
13 M. Høibråten
23 V. Jonsson
21 A. Kralj
8 E. Mjelde
7 E. Pálsson
24 Tito
15 P. Engblom
6 M. Ofkir
10 Rufo Herraiz
Bench (6)
18 W. Kurtović
17 Marc Vales
20 G. Gibson
3 S. Foss
12 W. Viitala
36 M. Andersen

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Jerv

1 B. Boujar
4 E. Knudsen
7 S. Larsen
18 J. Solli
2 T. Wichne
5 P. Reinhardsen
6 M. Wichmann
8 T. Zernichow
11 D. Aase
23 O. Håbestad
9 L. Ferreira
Bench (7)
98 M. Baidoo
96 A. Okachi
3 B. Hove
13 H. Suggelia
16 T. Wangerud
20 Ø. Øvretveit
31 D. Roppestad

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.