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Conference League
Referee: A Karaoglan
Ajax
U S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Shelbourne
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Shelbourne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

71% Possession 29%
32 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Shelbourne
Mika Godts ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
4′
1–0 M. Godts ⚽
6′
2–0 O. Wijndal ⚽
S. Berghuis
22′
Half-time 2–0
47′
🟨 Evan Caffrey
3–0 K. Dolberg ⚽
S. Berghuis
50′
Mika Godts ❌
penalty missed
57′
Marcos Leonardo 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
58′
J. Mokio 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
58′
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
64′
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
65′
73′
🔁 R. Freitas
↦ S. Moore
M. Carrizo 🔁
↦ M. Godts
77′
80′
🔁 A. Coote
↦ J. Henry-Francis
80′
🔁 O. Casey
↦ K. McInroy
84′
⚽ D. Kelly 3–1
Jorthy Mokio 🟨
85′
93′
🔁 J. Roche
↦ S. Bone
93′
🔁 S. Gannon
↦ J. Norris
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ajax

4-1-4-1
26 M. Paes G
3 A. Gaaei D
30 A. Bouwman D
17 D. Blind D
5 O. Wijndal D
6 Y. Regeer M
23 S. Berghuis M
18 D. Klaassen M
10 O. Gloukh M
11 M. Godts M
9 K. Dolberg F
Bench (12)
1 M. ter Stegen
22 J. Heerkens
20 O. Edvardsen
99 T. Arokodare
38 Marcos Leonardo
15 Y. Baas
68 A. Ouazane
8 J. Brandt
12 Caio Henrique
2 L. Rosa
7 M. Carrizo
24 J. Mokio

Coach: Michel

Shelbourne

5-4-1
19 E. Beach G
25 M. Mbeng D
15 S. Bone D
29 P. Barrett D
4 K. Ledwidge D
18 J. Norris D
22 S. Moore M
21 J. Henry-Francis M
23 K. McInroy M
27 E. Caffrey M
17 D. Kelly F
Bench (12)
13 M. Johnson
73 F. Moylan
14 A. Coote
6 J. Lunney
44 D. Ring
55 J. Roche
2 S. Gannon
11 M. Odubeko
20 R. Freitas
36 W. Jarvis
16 O. Casey
56 J. Wuna

Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoglan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.