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Europa League
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Lillestrom
T T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,0
3,3
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 10
9 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Lillestrom 0–0

Match report

Lillestrom Egnatia Rrogozhinë
S. Kristiansen 🔁
↦ R. Gabrielsen
7′
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim 🟨
24′
32′
⚽ E. Sota 0–1
Fernando Medeiros
Fredrik Gulbrandsen 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Edison Ndreca
54′
🔁 A. Yago
↦ E. Ndreca
L. Alperud 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
67′
77′
🔁 A. Kryeziu
↦ K. Loukili
77′
🔁 J. Montenegro
↦ D. Adjessa
80′
🟨 Eljon Sota
1–1 S. Foss ⚽
Y. Ibrahimaj
82′
T. Olsen 🔁
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
89′
S. Akanji 🔁
↦
89′
90′
🔁 I. Diabate
↦ I. Gruda
2–1 T. Olsen ⚽
S. Akanji
94′
99′
🔁 Z. Aliyev
↦ E. Sota
99′
🔁 N. Ajetovikj
↦ A. Aleksi
H. Melland 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
100′
Henrik Melland 🟨
120′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-3-3
12 P. Dahlberg G
2 L. Ranger D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
5 S. Foss D
11 F. Elkaer D
14 G. Nyheim M
29 Y. Ibrahimaj M
17 E. Kitolano M
26 Y. Paintsil F
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
20 Felix Va F
Bench (12)
1 S. Hagerup
50 L. Babic
3 S. Ottesen
4 E. B. Garnas
6 H. Woxen
7 L. Alperud
10 T. Olsen
15 G. Nordh
16 H. Melland
18 K. Krygard
25 S. Akanji
47 S. Kristiansen

Coach: Hans Odegaard

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

4-3-1-2
98 M. Dajsinani G
55 G. Smajli D
33 E. Bitri D
28 E. Sota D
16 E. Ndreca D
20 K. Loukili M
6 A. Aleksi M
7 Fernando Medeiros M
10 A. Albanese M
2 D. Adjessa F
77 I. Gruda M
Bench (9)
1 L. Tandilashvili
12 B. Puja
4 Z. Aliyev
8 I. Diabate
13 A. Kacbufi
17 A. Kryeziu
24 N. Ajetovikj
29 A. Yago
99 J. Montenegro

Coach: Nevil Dede

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.