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Champions League
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
S U T U S
3–3
Full-time
Celje
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Celje
1–0 E. Bitri ⚽
A. Kryeziu
7′
D. Adjessa 🔁
↦ S. Bakayoko
16′
45′
⚽ M. Kvesic 1–1
S. Seslar
Half-time 1–2
54′
⚽ A. Kucys 1–2
L. Koutris
Eljon Sota 🟨
56′
2–2 Fernando Medeiros ⚽
D. Adjessa
58′
66′
⚽ M. Kvesic 2–3
69′
🔁 P. Sirvys
↦ A. Kucys
69′
🔁 A. Kotnik
↦ A. Dionkou
71′
🟨 Papa Daniel
Arbenit Xhemajli 🟨
73′
I. Gruda 🔁
↦ A. Albanese
73′
I. Diabate 🔁
↦ K. Loukili
74′
3–3 I. Diabate ⚽
Fernando Medeiros
78′
80′
🔁 M. Zabukovnik
↦ M. Avdyli
80′
🔁 V. Tusha
↦ S. Seslar
E. Ndreca 🔁
↦ Fernando Medeiros
86′
G. Smajli 🔁
↦ A. Kryeziu
86′
88′
🔁 R. Pozeg
↦ Y. Dukuly
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

3-5-2
98 M. Dajsinani G
28 E. Sota D
33 E. Bitri D
19 A. Xhemajli D
22 G. Jaime D
20 K. Loukili M
17 A. Kryeziu M
7 Fernando Medeiros M
29 A. Yago M
9 S. Bakayoko F
10 A. Albanese M
Bench (10)
1 L. Tandilashvili
12 B. Puja
2 D. Adjessa
6 A. Aleksi
8 I. Diabate
16 E. Ndreca
24 N. Ajetovikj
55 G. Smajli
77 I. Gruda
99 J. Montenegro

Coach: Nevil Dede

Celje

4-4-2
1 Z. Leban G
20 A. Dionkou D
3 D. Vuklisevic D
4 D. Hrka M
33 L. Koutris D
91 Y. Dukuly M
13 P. Daniel M
8 M. Kvesic M
11 M. Avdyli M
10 S. Seslar M
47 A. Kucys F
Bench (12)
12 L. Kolar
23 Z. Frelih
2 P. Sirvys
6 A. Tutyskinas
7 F. Jevsenak
17 A. Kotnik
19 M. Zabukovnik
25 V. Tusha
27 I. Calusic
77 M. Ivansek
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.