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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Lillestrom

T S S T T

0–2

Full-time

Rosenborg

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 43%

53%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 37%

40%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,51 xG 2,28

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 7

10 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 26

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 4. · Rosenborg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	13	2	2	+31	+25.5	41
2	Viking	16	13	1	2	+24	+13.5	40
3	Tromso	16	10	4	2	+15	+8.1	34
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	+4	+3.6	25
5	Molde	15	7	3	5	+6	+7.3	24
6	Brann	16	7	1	8	+6	-0.4	22
7	Sarpsborg 08	16	6	4	6	-2	-0.2	22
8	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	-3	-3.5	21
9	Valerenga	16	6	2	8	-6	-4.3	20
10	Fredrikstad	16	6	2	8	-10	-10.2	20
11	Rosenborg	15	5	3	7	+0	+1.2	18
12	KFUM Oslo	16	5	3	8	-8	-8.8	18
13	Sandefjord	16	4	3	9	-9	-8.5	15
14	Aalesund	15	2	7	6	-14	-9.3	13
15	Kristiansund	15	3	3	9	-12	-8.3	12
16	Start	17	2	4	11	-22	-5.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+22	+19.1	21
2	Viking	7	7	0	0	+17	+6.9	21
3	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
4	Molde	8	5	1	2	+9	+4.2	16
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Rosenborg	8	4	2	2	+7	+5.3	14
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.1	14
8	Valerenga	9	4	1	4	+2	-2.1	13
9	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+2	-1.1	13
10	KFUM Oslo	9	4	1	4	-1	-6.3	13
11	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
12	Brann	8	4	0	4	+1	+2.1	12
13	Sandefjord	8	2	3	3	-3	-5.0	9
14	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
15	Aalesund	9	1	5	3	-6	-1.2	8
16	Start	8	1	3	4	-8	+0.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+9	+6.4	20
2	Viking	9	6	1	2	+7	+6.6	19
3	Tromso	7	4	2	1	+4	-1.8	14
4	Lillestrom	8	4	1	3	-1	-0.8	13
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Molde	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
7	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	2	5	-5	-2.2	8
8	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-8	-2.2	7
9	Fredrikstad	9	2	1	6	-12	-9.2	7
10	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-5	-0.7	6
11	Sandefjord	8	2	0	6	-6	-3.5	6
12	KFUM Oslo	7	1	2	4	-7	-2.5	5
13	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
14	Rosenborg	7	1	1	5	-7	-4.2	4
15	Kristiansund	8	1	1	6	-10	-4.2	4
16	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.