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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Lillestrom

S T T S S

1–2

Full-time

Viking

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 73%

62%

83%

Points per game

1,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

46%

75%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

58%

Average goals

2,5

3,6

Scored

1,6

2,6

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,58 xG 0,79

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 4. · Viking 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
2	Viking	12	10	0	2	+19	+12.4	30
3	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	+20	+18.2	29
4	Lillestrom	13	8	1	4	+9	+5.7	25
5	Molde	13	6	2	5	+4	+2.6	20
6	Brann	14	6	1	7	+6	+1.2	19
7	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	-2	-2.1	18
8	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	-2	+1.3	18
9	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	-3	-3.3	17
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.0	15
11	Sandefjord	13	4	3	6	-4	-4.6	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.5	14
13	KFUM Oslo	13	3	3	7	-8	-5.4	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	-10	-9.6	12
15	Kristiansund	13	3	3	7	-10	-7.3	12
16	Start	14	1	4	9	-19	-7.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
3	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	0	1	+15	+15.2	15
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	+3.4	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+6	-0.6	13
7	Lillestrom	6	4	0	2	+6	+4.7	12
8	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.0	11
10	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
11	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+0	-2.1	10
12	Brann	6	3	0	3	+1	+3.8	9
13	Sandefjord	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.6	9
14	Kristiansund	6	2	2	2	-1	-2.8	8
15	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
16	Start	6	1	3	2	-4	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+5	+3.1	14
2	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
3	Viking	6	4	0	2	+3	+6.3	12
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
7	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.0	6
8	Molde	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
9	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
10	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.4	4
11	Fredrikstad	7	1	1	5	-9	-6.9	4
12	Valerenga	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.7	4
13	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
14	Ham-Kam	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.7	3
15	KFUM Oslo	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.3	2
16	Start	8	0	1	7	-15	-7.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.