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Champions League
Referee: Joey Kooij
Celje
S S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
3,3
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -26 Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Celje 3–3

Match report

Celje Egnatia Rrogozhinë
21′
⚽ D. Hrka 1–0
own goal
2–0 M. Kvesic ⚽
34′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 E. Ndreca
↦ A. Yago
60′
🔁 I. Gruda
↦ D. Adjessa
Papa Daniel 🟨
68′
Y. Dukuly 🔁
↦ M. Zabukovnik
69′
R. Pozeg 🔁
↦ M. Avdyli
69′
Yaya Dukuly 🟨
73′
81′
🟨 Fernando Medeiros
A. Kotnik 🔁
↦ A. Kucys
81′
A. Dionkou 🔁
↦ P. Sirvys
81′
82′
🔁 N. Ajetovikj
↦ K. Loukili
I. Calusic 🔁
↦ P. Daniel
89′
91′
🟨 Ildi Gruda
93′
🟨 Guillem Jaime
3–0 M. Kvesic ⚽
97′
98′
🔁 G. Smajli
↦ E. Sota
98′
🔁 J. Montenegro
↦ A. Kryeziu
Alpha Diounkou 🟨
100′
D. Vuklisevic 🔁
↦ M. Kvesic
108′
114′
⚽ G. Smajli 3–1
Artemijus Tutyškinas 🟨
115′
116′
🔁 A. Aleksi
↦ G. Jaime
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Celje

4-3-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 P. Sirvys D
4 D. Hrka M
6 A. Tutyskinas D
33 L. Koutris D
8 M. Kvesic M
13 P. Daniel M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
10 S. Seslar M
47 A. Kucys F
11 M. Avdyli M
Bench (12)
12 L. Kolar
23 Z. Frelih
3 D. Vuklisevic
7 F. Jevsenak
17 A. Kotnik
20 A. Dionkou
25 V. Tusha
27 I. Calusic
77 M. Ivansek
91 Y. Dukuly
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

3-5-2
98 M. Dajsinani G
28 E. Sota D
33 E. Bitri D
19 A. Xhemajli D
22 G. Jaime D
20 K. Loukili M
17 A. Kryeziu M
7 Fernando Medeiros M
29 A. Yago M
2 D. Adjessa F
10 A. Albanese M
Bench (8)
1 L. Tandilashvili
12 B. Puja
6 A. Aleksi
16 E. Ndreca
24 N. Ajetovikj
55 G. Smajli
77 I. Gruda
99 J. Montenegro

Coach: Nevil Dede

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.