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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Cercle Brugge
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,27 xG 2,06
51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 5. · St Truiden 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St Truiden 4 3 1 0 +5 +5.4 10
2 Anderlecht 4 3 0 1 +6 +5.5 9
3 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.9 9
4 St. Gilloise 4 2 2 0 +8 +7.9 8
5 Cercle Brugge 4 2 0 2 +2 +0.5 6
6 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +1 -3.1 4
7 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.9 4
8 RAAL La Louviere 5 1 1 3 -3 -3.5 4
9 Waregem 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.2 4
10 Standard 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.0 4
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 1 0 1 -4 -1.5 3
12 Westerlo 4 1 0 3 -5 -1.4 3
13 Charleroi 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
14 Dender 4 0 1 3 -5 -5.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
1–0 A. Minda
S. Ngoura
30′
38′
I. Sebaoui 1–1
A. Sissako
Half-time 1–1
58′
🟨 Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Erick Nunes 🔁
↦ L. Agyekum
65′
65′
🔁 S. Taniguchi
↦ R. Vanwesemael
O. Adewumi 🔁
↦ S. Ngoura
76′
76′
🔁 R. Merlen
↦ A. Ferrari
76′
🔁 K. Goto
↦ R. Ito
Maxime Delanghe 🟨
79′
Flávio Nazinho 🟨
80′
A. Bayo 🔁
↦ A. Minda
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-4-2
21 M. Delanghe G
15 G. Magnee D
3 E. Utkus D
66 C. Ravych D
20 Nazinho D
6 L. Agyekum M
18 P. Gerkens M
28 H. van der Bruggen M
37 E. Diop M
9 S. Ngoura F
11 A. Minda F
Bench (9)
1 Warleson
4 D. Gomis
12 K. Valy
8 Erick Nunes
19 I. Diaby
27 N. De Wilde
17 O. Adewumi
22 A. Bayo
31 E. Kone

Coach: Lars Friis

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
19 L. Patris D
20 R. Van Helden D
26 V. Musliu D
3 T. Hata D
6 R. Yamamoto M
8 A. Sissako M
60 R. Vanwesemael M
13 R. Ito M
10 I. Sebaoui M
9 A. Ferrari F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
5 S. Taniguchi
14 R. Merlen
18 S. Jukleroed
22 W. Janssens
31 I. Benachour
33 A. Diriken
38 K. Matsuzawa
42 K. Goto

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,51
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.