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Pro League

Referee: M Ledda

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T S U U U

4–4

Full-time

Dender

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 22%

13%

30%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

26%

57%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

61%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,60 xG 2,30

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15. · Dender 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	23	17	3	3	+22	+19.9	54
2	Club Brugge	23	16	5	2	+30	+28.1	53
3	St. Gilloise	23	14	6	3	+27	+24.8	48
4	Anderlecht	23	12	5	6	+20	+5.6	41
5	Antwerp	22	10	8	4	+15	-1.6	38
6	Gent	23	9	8	6	+8	-3.6	35
7	Cercle Brugge	27	7	9	11	-17	-3.3	30
8	Charleroi	22	7	8	7	+0	+2.4	29
9	Dender	23	7	8	8	-7	-11.7	29
10	Standard	23	7	7	9	-13	-8.5	28
11	Mechelen	23	6	7	10	-2	+2.6	25
12	St Truiden	27	6	7	14	-22	-7.6	25
13	Westerlo	23	6	6	11	-3	-0.3	24
14	Kortrijk	27	7	3	17	-23	-15.0	24
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	3	12	8	-7	-5.8	21
16	Beerschot VA	27	2	8	17	-28	-25.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	11	10	1	0	+19	+16.1	31
2	St. Gilloise	12	10	0	2	+19	+19.3	30
3	Club Brugge	12	9	2	1	+21	+20.0	29
4	Anderlecht	11	6	3	2	+13	+3.6	21
5	Antwerp	11	6	2	3	+14	+3.8	20
6	Gent	11	6	2	3	+11	+1.8	20
7	Cercle Brugge	13	5	5	3	-2	+3.7	20
8	Charleroi	11	5	3	3	+4	+5.0	18
9	Standard	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.6	18
10	St Truiden	14	4	6	4	-3	+0.8	18
11	Mechelen	12	4	5	3	+7	+6.2	17
12	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	+6	+10.7	16
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	7	1	+4	+2.9	16
14	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-6	-2.1	16
15	Dender	12	3	5	4	+0	-2.2	14
16	Beerschot VA	13	2	6	5	-6	-10.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	7	3	1	+9	+8.1	24
2	Genk	12	7	2	3	+3	+3.8	23
3	Anderlecht	12	6	2	4	+7	+2.0	20
4	St. Gilloise	11	4	6	1	+8	+5.5	18
5	Antwerp	11	4	6	1	+1	-5.4	18
6	Gent	12	3	6	3	-3	-5.4	15
7	Dender	11	4	3	4	-7	-9.5	15
8	Charleroi	11	2	5	4	-4	-2.6	11
9	Standard	12	2	4	6	-14	-6.9	10
10	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-15	-7.0	10
11	Westerlo	11	2	2	7	-9	-11.0	8
12	Mechelen	11	2	2	7	-9	-3.7	8
13	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-17	-12.9	8
14	St Truiden	13	2	1	10	-19	-8.4	7
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	0	5	7	-11	-8.8	5
16	Beerschot VA	14	0	2	12	-22	-15.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.