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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
St. Gilloise
S S S S U
5–0
Full-time
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,88 xG 0,29
52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Anderlecht 2 2 0 0 +5 +3.2 6
2 Standard 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.5 4
3 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
4 Gent 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
5 Westerlo 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.6 3
6 Dender 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.6 1
7 Mechelen 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.6 1
8 Antwerp 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.7 1
9 St. Gilloise 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.7 1
10 Waregem 2 0 1 1 -2 +1.2 1
11 Genk 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
12 Cercle Brugge 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.2 0
13 RAAL La Louviere 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jan -25 St. Gilloise – Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 24. Nov -24 Oud-Heverlee Leuven – St. Gilloise 1–1 2. Mar -24 Oud-Heverlee Leuven – St. Gilloise 0–2 12. Aug -23 St. Gilloise – Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5–1 21. Jan -23 St. Gilloise – Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0

Match report

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1–0 A. Khalaili ⚽
A. Zorgane
1′
2–0 R. Sykes ⚽
A. Ait El Hadj
4′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 R. Florucz ⚽
48′
58′
🔁 M. Maertens
↦ Y. Maziz
58′
🔁 C. Terho
↦ T. Verlinden
58′
🔁 A. K. Traore
↦ W. Balikwisha
4–0 R. Florucz ⚽
F. Leysen
59′
66′
🟨 Siebe Schrijvers
A. Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ A. Khalaili
67′
S. Boufal 🔁
↦ R. Florucz
68′
5–0 O. Niang ⚽
S. Boufal
71′
72′
🔁 T. Vlietinck
↦ O. Gil
79′
🟨 Abdoul Karim Traoré
M. T. Barry 🔁
↦ R. Sykes
80′
M. Giger 🔁
↦ K. Rodriguez
80′
83′
🔁 N. Nsingi
↦ J. Mijatovic
Marc Giger 🟨
84′
G. Francois 🔁
↦ O. Niang
86′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
1 V. Chambaere G
5 K. Mac Allister D
48 F. Leysen D
26 R. Sykes D
25 A. Khalaili M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
8 A. Zorgane M
22 O. Niang M
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
30 R. Florucz F
13 K. Rodriguez F
Bench (9)
37 K. Scherpen
3 M. T. Barry
19 G. Francois
4 M. Rasmussen
6 K. Van De Perre
21 A. Castro-Montes
20 M. Giger
23 S. Boufal
31 C. Makate Bokoya

Coach: David Hubert

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
1 T. Leysen G
27 O. Gil D
28 E. Pletinckx D
5 T. Ominami D
30 T. Akimoto D
8 S. Schrijvers M
4 B. Verstraete M
21 W. Balikwisha M
10 Y. Maziz M
7 T. Verlinden M
22 J. Mijatovic F
Bench (9)
16 M. Prevot
6 W. George
33 M. Maertens
11 C. Terho
20 N. Nsingi
9 A. K. Traore
34 R. Nyakossi
66 A. Ohata
77 T. Vlietinck

Coach: Felice Mazzu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
🔒
U
5,15
🔒
B
8,51
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
U2,5
2,23
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.