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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
St. Gilloise
S T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Standard
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 46%
53%
39%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
53%
39%
Both score Ø 41%
53%
28%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,47 xG 0,46
62% Possession 38%
9 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Gilloise 5. · Standard 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 20 15 3 2 +18 +18.4 48
2 Club Brugge 19 12 5 2 +24 +21.3 41
3 Anderlecht 19 11 5 3 +22 +8.3 38
4 Antwerp 18 10 7 1 +21 +1.9 37
5 St. Gilloise 19 10 6 3 +15 +19.4 36
6 Gent 19 8 8 3 +15 +1.0 32
7 Cercle Brugge 23 6 8 9 -13 -4.4 26
8 Dender 20 6 7 7 -5 -9.1 25
9 Standard 18 7 4 7 -9 -6.6 25
10 Charleroi 18 6 6 6 +1 +3.4 24
11 Mechelen 20 5 5 10 -5 -2.7 20
12 Westerlo 19 5 4 10 -3 -0.7 19
13 St Truiden 23 4 7 12 -21 -10.9 19
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 2 9 8 -8 -4.5 15
15 Beerschot VA 23 2 8 13 -24 -20.0 14
16 Kortrijk 23 4 2 17 -28 -14.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Standard
F. Leysen 🔁
↦ K. Machida
14′
1–0 P. David
F. Ivanović
20′
Christian Burgess 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Mathias Rasmussen 🟨
51′
2–0 P. David
M. Rasmussen
55′
56′
🟨 Aiden O'Neill
59′
🟨 Aiden O'Neill
59′
🟥 Aiden O'Neill
61′
🔁 B. Bolingoli
↦ I. Camara
62′
🔁 N. Ngoy
↦ I. Hautekiet
H. Teklab 🔁
↦ P. David
66′
K. Van de Perre 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
66′
66′
🔁 I. Karamoko
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
75′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ L. Amani
77′
🟨 Henry Lawrence
3–0 F. Ivanović
H. Teklab
82′
M. Giger 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
84′
R. Sykes 🔁
↦ A. Khalaili
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-3
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
25 A. Khalaili M
27 N. Sadiki M
4 M. Rasmussen M
23 S. Boufal M
9 F. Ivanović F
12 P. David F
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
Bench (9)
48 F. Leysen
11 H. Teklab
6 K. Van de Perre
20 M. Giger
26 R. Sykes
19 G. François
13 K. Rodríguez
1 V. Chambaere
77 M. Fuseini

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Standard

3-5-2
31 G. Bazunu G
88 H. Lawrence D
25 I. Hautekiet D
41 A. Szalai D
13 M. Fossey M
8 L. Amani M
24 A. O'Neill M
14 L. Kuavita M
17 I. Camara M
77 A. Hountondji F
11 D. Eckert Ayensa F
Bench (9)
5 B. Bolingoli
3 N. Ngoy
20 I. Karamoko
6 S. Alexandropoulos
9 A. Zeqiri
40 M. Epolo
29 D. Dierckx
7 M. Bulat
99 T. Poitoux

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,09
B
8,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.