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Europa League
Referee: C Kavanagh
Ajax
S S S S S
1–2
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 15/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
53%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,72 xG 4,02
33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 34
5 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 12
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 21
6 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -25 St. Gilloise – Ajax 0–2

Match report

Ajax St. Gilloise
Jordan Henderson 🟨
-5′
16′
⚽ K. Mac Allister 0–1
S. Boufal
Davy Klaassen 🟥
25′
28′
⚽ P. David 0–2
Lucas Rosa 🟨
32′
K. Taylor 🔁
↦ C. Rasmussen
41′
Half-time 0–2
B. Traoré 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
46′
A. Gaaei 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
46′
A. Kaplan 🔁
↦ D. Rugani
46′
Anton Gaaei 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Sofiane Boufal
M. Godts 🔁
↦ Lucas Rosa
61′
61′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ S. Boufal
Ahmetcan Kaplan 🟨
71′
73′
🟨 Noah Sadiki
73′
🔁 K. Rodríguez
↦ P. David
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ J. Mokio
90′
93′
🟨 Anan Khalaili
1–2 K. Taylor ⚽
93′
94′
🔁 K. Van de Perre
↦ M. Rasmussen
94′
🔁 M. Fuseini
↦ A. Khalaili
99′
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
Kenneth Taylor 🟨
101′
105′
🟨 Christian Burgess
105′
🔁 R. Sykes
↦ C. Burgess
105′
🔁 F. Leysen
↦ N. Sadiki
Jorrel Hato 🟨
125′
125′
🟨 Kamiel Van De Perre
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-1-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 Lucas Rosa D
37 J. Šutalo D
24 D. Rugani D
4 J. Hato D
31 J. Mokio M
18 D. Klaassen M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
23 S. Berghuis M
29 C. Rasmussen F
17 O. Edvardsen F
Bench (12)
8 K. Taylor
20 B. Traoré
3 A. Gaaei
13 A. Kaplan
11 M. Godts
6 J. Henderson
36 D. Janse
59 D. Konadu
42 N. Verschuren
63 S. Steur
51 C. Setford
52 P. Reverson

Coach: F. Farioli

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
25 A. Khalaili M
4 M. Rasmussen M
27 N. Sadiki M
22 O. Niang M
23 S. Boufal F
9 F. Ivanović F
12 P. David F
Bench (10)
10 A. Ait El Hadj
13 K. Rodríguez
6 K. Van de Perre
77 M. Fuseini
26 R. Sykes
48 F. Leysen
1 V. Chambaere
14 J. Imbrechts
33 S. Berradi
32 M. Asri

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.