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Süper Lig

Referee: B Pakkan

Sivasspor

T T T U T

3–1

Full-time

Goztep

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 33%

24%

42%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

58%

Both score Ø 53%

52%

54%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,21 xG 0,40

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sivasspor 17. · Goztep 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	20	5	0	+36	+22.6	65
2	Fenerbahce	25	19	4	2	+40	+31.7	61
3	Samsunspor	25	14	5	6	+13	+8.1	47
4	Besiktas	24	12	8	4	+15	+12.0	44
5	Eyüpspor	25	11	7	7	+10	-1.1	40
6	Goztep	24	10	6	8	+12	+15.0	36
7	Buyuksehyr	25	10	6	9	+7	+6.6	36
8	Rizespor	26	10	3	13	-10	+3.8	33
9	Antalyaspor	26	9	6	11	-17	-12.3	33
10	Trabzonspor	25	8	8	9	+9	-1.3	32
11	Gaziantep	24	9	5	10	-1	-5.3	32
12	Kasimpasa	26	7	11	8	-6	-1.2	32
13	Alanyaspor	25	8	7	10	-7	-0.0	31
14	Konyaspor	25	7	7	11	-7	-6.8	28
15	Bodrumspor	26	7	6	13	-11	-1.4	27
16	Kayserispor	25	6	9	10	-18	-5.3	27
17	Sivasspor	25	6	6	13	-13	-16.6	24
18	Hatayspor	25	3	7	15	-18	-20.5	16
19	Ad. Demirspor	25	2	4	19	-34	-28.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	11	0	1	+20	+16.9	33
2	Galatasaray	13	10	3	0	+17	+15.8	33
3	Goztep	12	9	2	1	+19	+15.3	29
4	Trabzonspor	13	8	3	2	+17	+5.4	27
5	Gaziantep	13	8	3	2	+11	+2.0	27
6	Besiktas	12	8	2	2	+8	+8.7	26
7	Buyuksehyr	13	7	4	2	+16	+8.8	25
8	Eyüpspor	12	7	3	2	+11	+2.4	24
9	Antalyaspor	13	7	3	3	+0	-2.8	24
10	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+9	+9.3	23
11	Alanyaspor	12	6	3	3	+4	+7.1	21
12	Bodrumspor	13	5	3	5	+3	+0.8	18
13	Rizespor	12	5	3	4	+1	+9.2	18
14	Konyaspor	12	4	5	3	+2	+2.6	17
15	Sivasspor	13	4	5	4	+1	-6.3	17
16	Kayserispor	13	4	4	5	-7	-0.5	16
17	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+3.4	14
18	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	10	2	0	+19	+6.8	32
2	Fenerbahce	13	8	4	1	+20	+14.8	28
3	Samsunspor	13	7	3	3	+4	-1.2	24
4	Besiktas	12	4	6	2	+7	+3.4	18
5	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-3	-4.6	18
6	Eyüpspor	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.4	16
7	Rizespor	14	5	0	9	-11	-5.3	15
8	Konyaspor	13	3	2	8	-9	-9.5	11
9	Buyuksehyr	12	3	2	7	-9	-2.2	11
10	Kayserispor	12	2	5	5	-11	-4.8	11
11	Alanyaspor	13	2	4	7	-11	-7.1	10
12	Bodrumspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.2	9
13	Antalyaspor	13	2	3	8	-17	-9.6	9
14	Goztep	12	1	4	7	-7	-0.3	7
15	Sivasspor	12	2	1	9	-14	-10.2	7
16	Trabzonspor	12	0	5	7	-8	-6.7	5
17	Gaziantep	11	1	2	8	-12	-7.3	5
18	Hatayspor	12	1	2	9	-12	-12.9	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	2	9	-15	-15.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.