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Serie B

Referee: M Mariani

Spezia

S U U T U

3–2

Full-time

Pisa

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Pisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 52%

46%

57%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

43%

54%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Pisa 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	28	20	5	3	+34	65
2	Pisa	28	16	7	5	+18	55
3	Spezia	28	13	12	3	+22	51
4	Cremonese	29	12	9	8	+14	45
5	Catanzaro	29	9	16	4	+5	43
6	Cesena	29	11	8	10	+2	41
7	Juve Stabia	29	10	10	9	-1	40
8	Palermo	29	10	9	10	+6	39
9	Bari	28	8	14	6	+4	38
10	Modena	29	7	14	8	+1	35
11	Cittadella	28	9	7	12	-15	34
12	Carrarese	29	8	8	13	-10	32
13	Brescia	29	6	13	10	-6	31
14	Reggiana	29	7	10	12	-6	31
15	Sampdoria	29	6	13	10	-7	31
16	Mantova	29	6	12	11	-10	30
17	Sudtirol	28	8	6	14	-12	30
18	Frosinone	29	6	12	11	-15	30
19	Salernitana	29	7	8	14	-12	29
20	Cosenza	29	6	11	12	-12	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	12	1	1	+23	37
2	Pisa	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Spezia	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Cesena	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Catanzaro	15	6	7	2	+8	25
6	Carrarese	15	7	4	4	+3	25
7	Juve Stabia	14	7	3	4	+4	24
8	Cremonese	15	6	5	4	+5	23
9	Bari	15	5	8	2	+4	23
10	Modena	14	5	7	2	+6	22
11	Palermo	14	6	4	4	+5	22
12	Salernitana	15	6	4	5	+1	22
13	Mantova	14	5	5	4	-1	20
14	Sampdoria	15	4	6	5	-1	18
15	Cosenza	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Brescia	15	3	8	4	+0	17
17	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-1	17
18	Sudtirol	14	4	4	6	-5	16
19	Frosinone	15	3	7	5	-7	16
20	Cittadella	13	2	6	5	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Spezia	15	5	8	2	+8	23
3	Cremonese	14	6	4	4	+9	22
4	Pisa	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	14	3	9	2	-3	18
7	Palermo	15	4	5	6	+1	17
8	Juve Stabia	15	3	7	5	-5	16
9	Bari	13	3	6	4	+0	15
10	Cesena	15	4	3	8	-6	15
11	Reggiana	15	3	5	7	-5	14
12	Brescia	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Sudtirol	14	4	2	8	-7	14
14	Frosinone	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Modena	15	2	7	6	-5	13
16	Sampdoria	14	2	7	5	-6	13
17	Cosenza	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Mantova	15	1	7	7	-9	10
19	Carrarese	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Salernitana	14	1	4	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.