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Superligaen
Referee: J Sundberg
FC Copenhagen
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Sonderjyske
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
55%
20%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
55%
70%
Both score Ø 70%
70%
70%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,14 xG 0,55
66% Possession 34%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 2. · Sonderjyske 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 21 13 3 5 +13 +4.5 42
2 FC Copenhagen 20 11 7 2 +15 +10.1 40
3 Aarhus 21 9 9 3 +20 +9.8 36
4 Nordsjaelland 21 10 5 6 +4 +7.1 35
5 Brondby 20 8 8 4 +12 +7.9 32
6 Randers FC 20 8 8 4 +11 +9.5 32
7 Silkeborg 21 8 8 5 +9 +4.0 32
8 Viborg 21 6 7 8 -2 -8.1 25
9 Aalborg 21 4 6 11 -21 -17.9 18
10 Sonderjyske 20 4 4 12 -22 -12.8 16
11 Lyngby 21 2 9 10 -12 -6.0 15
12 Vejle 21 2 4 15 -27 -8.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Sonderjyske
1–0 V. Claesson
M. López
8′
43′
L. Björklund 1–1
S. Emini
Half-time 1–1
E. Achouri 🔁
↦ Robert
46′
A. Chiakha 🔁
↦ M. Mattsson
46′
46′
🔁 E. Duru
↦ T. Klysner
47′
🟨 Sefer Emini
Marcos López 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Mads Agger
54′
🟨 Kristall Máni Ingason
56′
🔁 A. Lyng
↦ M. Agger
Rodrigo Huescas 🟨
61′
R. Falk 🔁
↦ W. Clem
62′
M. Elyounoussi 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
62′
65′
🔁 I. Djantou
↦ L. Björklund
B. Meling 🔁
↦ M. López
83′
83′
🔁 M. Olsen
↦ L. Qamili
83′
🔁 D. Wilkins
↦ K. Ingason
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
41 D. Ramaj G
13 R. Huescas D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. López D
11 J. Larsson M
36 W. Clem M
17 V. Froholdt M
16 Robert M
7 V. Claesson F
8 M. Mattsson F
Bench (9)
30 E. Achouri
19 A. Chiakha
33 R. Falk
10 M. Elyounoussi
24 B. Meling
22 G. Gocholeishvili
48 H. Németh
4 M. Garan'anga
1 N. Trott

Coach: J. Neestrup

Sonderjyske

4-3-3
16 M. Bundgaard G
20 T. Klysner D
12 M. Soulas D
5 M. Dal Hende D
22 A. Oggesen D
7 S. Emini M
6 R. Vinderslev M
8 L. Björklund M
15 L. Qamili F
10 K. Ingason F
25 M. Agger F
Bench (9)
23 E. Duru
11 A. Lyng
9 I. Djantou
2 M. Olsen
13 D. Wilkins
31 M. Haidara
1 N. Flø
24 O. Hyseni
26 T. Sommer

Coach: T. Nørgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.