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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Luzern

T S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Basel

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 48%

46%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

65%

58%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

62%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 1,10

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 3. · Basel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	27	13	9	5	+9	+3.0	48
2	Basel	26	13	6	7	+27	+16.8	45
3	Luzern	26	12	7	7	+6	+5.8	43
4	Lugano	26	12	6	8	+5	+6.1	42
5	Young Boys	27	11	7	9	+8	+10.4	40
6	St. Gallen	27	10	9	8	+4	-4.6	39
7	Zurich	27	11	6	10	-1	-5.0	39
8	Lausanne	27	10	7	10	+6	+7.6	37
9	Sion	26	8	6	12	-7	+2.7	30
10	Yverdon	27	7	7	13	-17	-15.7	28
11	Grasshoppers	27	5	11	11	-11	-9.5	26
12	Winterthur	27	5	5	17	-29	-17.7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	9	3	2	+17	+7.7	30
2	Lugano	14	8	3	3	+7	+8.5	27
3	Basel	13	8	2	3	+13	+14.9	26
4	Lausanne	14	8	2	4	+12	+9.4	26
5	Luzern	13	8	2	3	+8	+9.2	26
6	Servette	13	7	5	1	+7	+5.6	26
7	St. Gallen	13	6	6	1	+11	+4.8	24
8	Yverdon	14	6	3	5	-1	-2.8	21
9	Sion	12	5	5	2	+8	+12.3	20
10	Zurich	14	5	4	5	-1	-2.1	19
11	Winterthur	13	5	1	7	-7	-3.1	16
12	Grasshoppers	13	2	7	4	-3	+4.3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	14	6	4	4	+2	-2.6	22
2	Zurich	13	6	2	5	+0	-2.9	20
3	Basel	13	5	4	4	+14	+1.9	19
4	Luzern	13	4	5	4	-2	-3.4	17
5	Lugano	12	4	3	5	-2	-2.4	15
6	St. Gallen	14	4	3	7	-7	-9.4	15
7	Grasshoppers	14	3	4	7	-8	-13.8	13
8	Lausanne	13	2	5	6	-6	-1.8	11
9	Young Boys	13	2	4	7	-9	+2.7	10
10	Sion	14	3	1	10	-15	-9.6	10
11	Yverdon	13	1	4	8	-16	-13.0	7
12	Winterthur	14	0	4	10	-22	-14.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.