← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Nantes
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Nantes Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 67%
71%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,82 xG 0,98
39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 14. · Strasbourg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 20 5 0 +46 +42.8 65
2 Marseille 25 15 4 6 +22 +13.9 49
3 Nice 24 13 7 4 +21 +15.5 46
4 Monaco 25 13 5 7 +17 +29.4 44
5 Lille 25 12 8 5 +13 +7.3 44
6 Lyon 24 11 6 7 +13 +5.4 39
7 Strasbourg 24 10 7 7 +6 -6.2 37
8 Lens 25 10 6 9 +1 +4.7 36
9 Brest 25 11 3 11 -2 -5.8 36
10 Toulouse 25 9 7 9 +5 +9.8 34
11 Rennes 25 9 2 14 -1 +0.5 29
12 Auxerre 24 7 7 10 -4 -10.1 28
13 Angers 25 7 6 12 -14 -12.7 27
14 Nantes 24 5 9 10 -14 -10.4 24
15 Reims 24 5 7 12 -12 -16.6 22
16 Le Havre 24 6 2 16 -27 -17.2 20
17 St Etienne 24 5 4 15 -32 -30.5 19
18 Montpellier 25 4 3 18 -38 -19.9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Strasbourg
Matthis Abline ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
2′
7′
🟨 Mamadou Sarr
Douglas Augusto 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
50′
ℹ️ Sebastian Nanasi
VAR: Goal cancelled
Pedro Chirivella 🔁
↦ Douglas Augusto
57′
N. Cozza 🔁
↦ M. Coco
70′
M. Simon 🔁
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
70′
79′
F. Lemaréchal 0–1
D. Bakwa
H. Guirassy 🔁
↦ S. Thomas
83′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ J. Lepenant
83′
86′
🔁 E. Sobol
↦ D. Bakwa
90′
🔁 P. Diong
↦ S. Nanasi
95′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ E. Emegha
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nantes

5-3-2
16 Anthony Lopes G
22 S. Thomas D
98 K. Amian D
21 J. Castelletto D
4 N. Pallois D
11 M. Coco D
8 J. Lepenant M
6 Douglas Augusto M
66 L. Leroux M
39 M. Abline F
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (9)
5 Pedro Chirivella
3 N. Cozza
27 M. Simon
62 H. Guirassy
17 M. Elia
30 P. Carlgren
72 S. Doucouré
25 F. Mollet
59 D. Assoumani

Coach: A. Kombouare

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
1 Đ. Petrović G
22 G. Doué D
23 M. Sarr D
29 I. Doukouré D
26 D. Bakwa M
8 Andrey Santos M
32 V. Barco M
7 Diego Moreira M
6 F. Lemaréchal F
15 S. Nanasi F
10 E. Emegha F
Bench (9)
77 E. Sobol
17 P. Diong
14 S. Mara
20 Ó. Perea
33 A. Cissé
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
34 S. Lung
30 K. Johnsson
39 S. El Mourabet

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U
3,30
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.