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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
Olympiakos
U S S S T
1–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 56%
67%
44%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
52%
63%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
23 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · OFI Crete 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 27 18 6 3 +28 60
2 AEK 27 17 5 5 +32 56
3 Panathinaikos 27 14 8 5 +7 50
4 PAOK 27 14 5 8 +25 47
5 OFI Crete 27 12 6 9 +3 42
6 Aris 26 12 6 8 +3 42
7 Aris Thessalonikis 25 12 5 8 +3 41
8 Asteras Tripolis 28 11 6 11 -1 39
9 Atromitos 27 10 5 12 -1 35
10 Panetolikos 27 10 5 12 -2 35
11 Levadeiakos 27 7 9 11 -3 30
12 Panserraikos 28 8 4 16 -19 28
13 Volos NFC 28 7 5 16 -21 26
14 Athens Kallithea 27 3 9 15 -20 18
15 Lamia 28 3 6 19 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos OFI Crete
16′
🟨 Kevin Lewis
43′
🟨 Kevin Lewis
43′
🟥 Kevin Lewis
1–0 Rodinei
44′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 N. Marinakis
↦ T. Fountas
73′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ E. Salcedo
73′
🔁 M. Bakić
↦ T. Androutsos
C. Mouzakitis 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
77′
L. Palma 🔁
↦ Rodinei
77′
79′
🟨 Borja Gonzalez Tejada
86′
🔁 G. Theodosoulakis
↦ L. Shengelia
86′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ Z. Karachalios
N. Lolis 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
87′
A. Papakanellos 🔁
↦ K. Velde
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
70 B. Onyemaechi D
32 S. Hezze M
8 M. Stamenić M
23 Rodinei M
22 Chiquinho M
11 K. Velde M
17 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (9)
96 C. Mouzakitis
50 L. Palma
82 N. Lolis
64 A. Papakanellos
21 André Horta
16 David Carmo
4 G. Biancone
1 A. Paschalakis
3 F. Ortega

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
17 Borja González D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
5 Bressan D
34 K. Lewis D
14 T. Androutsos M
6 Z. Karachalios M
27 L. Shengelia M
11 T. Fountas M
18 T. Nuss M
9 E. Salcedo F
Bench (9)
4 N. Marinakis
10 J. Neira
88 M. Bakić
46 G. Theodosoulakis
29 A. Jung
1 D. Naumov
45 G. Apostolakis
7 Adrián Riera
22 G. Christopoulos

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,58
B
12,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.