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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Aalborg

U T T T U

1–4

Full-time

Midtjylland

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

55%

Both score Ø 48%

40%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,56 xG 3,56

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 28

4 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalborg 9. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	20	11	7	2	+15	+10.1	40
2	Midtjylland	20	12	3	5	+10	+1.5	39
3	Aarhus	20	9	8	3	+20	+7.7	35
4	Nordsjaelland	21	10	5	6	+4	+7.1	35
5	Brondby	20	8	8	4	+12	+7.9	32
6	Randers FC	20	8	8	4	+11	+9.5	32
7	Silkeborg	20	8	8	4	+10	+2.0	32
8	Viborg	20	6	6	8	-2	-6.0	24
9	Aalborg	20	4	6	10	-18	-14.9	18
10	Sonderjyske	20	4	4	12	-22	-12.8	16
11	Lyngby	20	1	9	10	-13	-4.0	12
12	Vejle	21	2	4	15	-27	-8.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	9	0	1	+9	+4.1	27
2	Nordsjaelland	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.9	25
3	FC Copenhagen	10	7	3	0	+11	+7.0	24
4	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+16	+6.1	22
5	Brondby	10	5	4	1	+8	+4.4	19
6	Viborg	10	5	2	3	+2	-4.5	17
7	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.7	16
8	Randers FC	10	4	3	3	+5	+6.0	15
9	Aalborg	10	3	3	4	-6	-5.4	12
10	Sonderjyske	10	2	3	5	-11	-7.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	10	1	3	6	-11	-0.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+7	+2.6	16
3	FC Copenhagen	10	4	4	2	+4	+3.2	16
4	Brondby	10	3	4	3	+4	+3.4	13
5	Aarhus	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.7	13
6	Midtjylland	10	3	3	4	+1	-2.7	12
7	Nordsjaelland	10	3	1	6	-8	+1.1	10
8	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
9	Sonderjyske	10	2	1	7	-11	-5.0	7
10	Aalborg	10	1	3	6	-12	-9.5	6
11	Lyngby	10	0	4	6	-7	-3.3	4
12	Vejle	11	1	1	9	-16	-7.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.