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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
GKS Katowice
S S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Zaglebie
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GKS Katowice 11. · Zaglebie 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 24 16 2 6 +27 +9.9 50
2 Rakow 24 14 7 3 +20 +11.6 49
3 Jagiellonia 23 13 6 4 +15 +2.6 45
4 Pogon Szczecin 24 12 4 8 +10 +9.2 40
5 Legia 23 11 6 6 +14 +10.2 39
6 Cracovia 24 10 8 6 +8 -3.3 38
7 Motor Lublin 23 10 5 8 -5 -2.7 35
8 Gornik Zabrze 23 10 4 9 +2 +4.0 34
9 Piast Gliwice 24 8 9 7 +1 -1.7 33
10 Korona Kielce 24 8 8 8 -7 -2.6 32
11 GKS Katowice 23 8 6 9 +2 +2.1 30
12 Radomiak Radom 24 8 4 12 -6 +0.7 28
13 Widzew Lodz 23 7 6 10 -11 -4.5 27
14 Stal Mielec 24 6 5 13 -9 +3.9 23
15 Puszcza 24 5 7 12 -12 -13.6 22
16 Zaglebie 23 6 4 13 -16 -6.1 22
17 Lechia Gdansk 23 5 6 12 -16 -15.3 21
18 Slask Wroclaw 24 2 9 13 -17 -4.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GKS Katowice Zaglebie
Bartosz Nowak 🟨
-5′
-5′
🟨 Jasmin Burić
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Adam Radwanski
S. Bergier 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
60′
68′
🔁 M. Listkowski
↦ L. Fritzson
K. Gruszkowski 🔁
↦ Borja Galán
74′
1–0 S. Bergier
A. Błąd
78′
82′
🔁 M. Reguła
↦ J. Kolan
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
88′
A. Komor 🔁
↦ L. Klemenz
88′
88′
🔁 A. Woźniak
↦ D. Michalski
Sebastian Bergier 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Mateusz Wdowiak
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
30 A. Czerwiński D
4 A. Jędrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
5 O. Repka M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
8 Borja Galán M
11 A. Błąd F
19 F. Szymczak F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
7 S. Bergier
24 K. Gruszkowski
18 D. Drachal
14 A. Komor
10 M. Mak
17 M. Marzec
22 S. Milewski
2 M. Kuusk
32 R. Strączek

Coach: R. Górak

Zaglebie

3-4-1-2
30 D. Hładun G
5 A. Ławniczak D
25 M. Nalepa D
4 D. Michalski D
27 B. Kłudka M
26 J. Kolan M
18 A. Radwański M
17 M. Wdowiak M
14 L. Fritzson F
77 K. Szmyt F
21 T. Pieńko F
Bench (9)
29 M. Listkowski
44 M. Reguła
11 A. Woźniak
7 M. Mróz
1 J. Burić
23 P. Kusztal
3 A. Abrahamsson
20 M. Dziewiatowski
16 J. Ćorluka

Coach: M. Włodarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.