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Super League
Referee: F San
Zurich
S T T S S
1–3
Full-time
Servette
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 44%
42%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 62%
54%
69%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 7. · Servette 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 26 13 6 7 +27 +16.8 45
2 Servette 26 12 9 5 +7 +3.0 45
3 Luzern 26 12 7 7 +6 +5.8 43
4 Lugano 26 12 6 8 +5 +6.1 42
5 Young Boys 27 11 7 9 +8 +10.4 40
6 St. Gallen 27 10 9 8 +4 -4.6 39
7 Zurich 26 11 6 9 +1 -5.0 39
8 Lausanne 27 10 7 10 +6 +7.6 37
9 Sion 26 8 6 12 -7 +2.7 30
10 Yverdon 27 7 7 13 -17 -15.7 28
11 Grasshoppers 27 5 11 11 -11 -9.5 26
12 Winterthur 27 5 5 17 -29 -17.7 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Servette
8′
M. Stevanović 0–1
T. Cognat
43′
E. Crivelli 0–2
M. Stevanović
Half-time 0–2
D. Reverson 🔁
↦ B. Krasniqi
46′
Rodrigo Conceição 🔁
↦ S. Ballet
46′
B. Mendy 🔁
↦ D. Denoon
46′
46′
🔁 J. Nonge
↦ Keyan Varela
1–2 D. Reverson
J. Markelo
50′
Rodrigo Conceição ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
62′
🔁 T. Ouattara
↦ D. Kutesa
69′
🔁 A. Ndoye
↦ E. Crivelli
76′
🟨 Joseph Nonge
M. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ J. Markelo
88′
91′
🔁 Y. Severin
↦ J. Nonge
95′
A. Ndoye 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zurich

4-1-4-1
25 Y. Brecher G
8 S. Ballet D
5 M. Gómez D
20 C. Ligue D
36 D. Denoon D
4 J. Gbamin M
26 J. Markelo M
7 B. Krasniqi M
38 M. Reichmuth M
23 M. Chouiar M
17 S. Zuber F
Bench (9)
29 D. Reverson
27 Rodrigo Conceição
3 B. Mendy
24 M. Mahmoud
13 M. Bangoura
1 Ž. Kostadinović
2 L. Kamberi
31 M. Kryeziu
11 U. Emmanuel

Coach: R. Moniz

Servette

4-2-3-1
1 J. Mall G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
25 K. Adams D
4 S. Rouiller D
18 B. Mazikou D
8 T. Cognat M
20 T. Magnin M
36 Keyan Varela M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (9)
29 J. Nonge
31 T. Ouattara
24 A. Ndoye
19 Y. Severin
32 J. Frick
34 L. Srdanovic
6 A. Baron
7 V. Beniangba
21 J. Guillemenot

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.