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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
0–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preußen Münster 15. · Nurnberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 25 12 9 4 +23 45
2 FC Koln 25 13 5 7 +8 44
3 Kaiserslautern 25 12 7 6 +8 43
4 Magdeburg 25 11 9 5 +15 42
5 Paderborn 24 11 8 5 +10 41
6 Elversberg 25 11 7 7 +14 40
7 Hannover 24 10 8 6 +7 38
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 10 8 7 +4 38
9 Karlsruhe 25 10 6 9 -2 36
10 Nurnberg 24 10 5 9 +3 35
11 Schalke 04 25 9 6 10 -2 33
12 Greuther Furth 25 9 6 10 -8 33
13 Darmstadt 25 8 7 10 +3 31
14 Hertha 25 7 5 13 -9 26
15 Preußen Münster 24 5 8 11 -7 23
16 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -21 22
17 Ulm 25 3 10 12 -7 19
18 Regensburg 24 4 3 17 -39 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Nurnberg
Rico Preißinger 🟨
21′
Jano ter Horst 🟨
29′
Florian Pick 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 L. Schleimer
↦ J. Antiste
65′
🟨 Tim Janisch
L. Frenkert 🔁
↦ R. Preißinger
66′
M. Batmaz 🔁
↦ J. ter Horst
67′
74′
🔁 D. Forkel
↦ J. Justvan
C. Makridis 🔁
↦ F. Pick
77′
80′
🔁 O. Villadsen
↦ T. Janisch
82′
L. Schleimer 0–1
S. Tzimas
E. Amenyido 🔁
↦ D. Kinsombi
89′
Marc Lorenz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
92′
93′
ℹ️ Caspar Jander
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

4-2-3-1
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
15 S. Scherder D
24 N. Koulis D
22 D. Schad D
20 J. Hendrix M
21 R. Preißinger M
13 F. Pick M
4 D. Kinsombi M
18 M. Lorenz M
31 H. Friðjónsson F
Bench (9)
29 L. Frenkert
23 M. Batmaz
14 C. Makridis
30 E. Amenyido
5 Y. Bouchama
26 M. Behrens
7 D. Kyerewaa
16 T. Paetow
11 T. Deters

Coach: S. Hildmann

Nurnberg

3-1-4-2
1 J. Reichert G
5 T. Drexler D
31 R. Knoche D
33 N. Seidel D
20 C. Jander M
32 T. Janisch M
10 J. Justvan M
17 J. Castrop M
21 B. Yılmaz M
9 S. Tzimas F
28 J. Antiste F
Bench (9)
36 L. Schleimer
34 D. Forkel
2 O. Villadsen
4 F. Gruber
23 J. Serra
6 F. Flick
26 C. Mathenia
18 R. Lubach
3 Danilo Soares

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U
3,39
B ✓
2,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.