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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Standard

U T S S U

1–2

Full-time

Genk

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/17 matches

Win Ø 58%

40%

76%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

33%

76%

Both score Ø 43%

20%

65%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,6

2,1

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,56 xG 1,57

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Standard 10. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	17	13	2	2	+16	+19.2	41
2	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+23	+18.2	37
3	St. Gilloise	17	9	6	2	+13	+16.2	33
4	Anderlecht	16	9	5	2	+21	+9.2	32
5	Antwerp	15	9	5	1	+20	+2.1	32
6	Gent	18	7	8	3	+14	+0.1	29
7	Dender	17	6	6	5	-1	-5.8	24
8	Cercle Brugge	20	6	6	8	-11	-5.6	24
9	Charleroi	16	6	5	5	+2	+2.9	23
10	Standard	15	6	4	5	-7	-7.0	22
11	St Truiden	21	4	5	12	-21	-9.5	17
12	Mechelen	17	4	4	9	-5	-2.5	16
13	Westerlo	17	4	3	10	-5	+0.3	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	2	8	7	-6	-2.5	14
15	Kortrijk	21	3	2	16	-29	-16.0	11
16	Beerschot VA	20	1	7	12	-24	-19.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+17	+14.4	20
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
4	St. Gilloise	7	6	0	1	+8	+12.6	18
5	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
6	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+15	+4.6	16
7	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
8	Cercle Brugge	9	4	3	2	-1	+0.8	15
9	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.6	14
10	St Truiden	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.6	14
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.4	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
13	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
14	Dender	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.9	9
15	Beerschot VA	10	1	6	3	-5	-6.7	9
16	Kortrijk	11	3	0	8	-9	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
4	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
5	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
6	Genk	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.8	13
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Charleroi	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.7	9
9	Cercle Brugge	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.4	9
10	Standard	8	1	3	4	-11	-4.9	6
11	Westerlo	8	1	1	6	-9	-8.9	4
12	Mechelen	8	1	1	6	-9	-3.9	4
13	St Truiden	10	1	0	9	-19	-10.1	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-9	-5.6	2
15	Kortrijk	10	0	2	8	-20	-12.3	2
16	Beerschot VA	10	0	1	9	-19	-12.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.