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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Standard
S S U T S
0–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
41%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 38%
29%
47%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,67 xG 0,37
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 9. · Anderlecht 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 19 14 3 2 +17 +18.5 45
2 Club Brugge 18 11 5 2 +22 +19.6 38
3 Antwerp 18 10 7 1 +21 +1.9 37
4 St. Gilloise 19 10 6 3 +15 +19.4 36
5 Anderlecht 17 10 5 2 +22 +9.5 35
6 Gent 19 8 8 3 +15 +1.0 32
7 Cercle Brugge 22 6 8 8 -11 -2.8 26
8 Dender 19 6 7 6 -4 -9.1 25
9 Standard 17 7 4 6 -7 -6.9 25
10 Charleroi 18 6 6 6 +1 +3.4 24
11 Mechelen 20 5 5 10 -5 -2.7 20
12 St Truiden 23 4 7 12 -21 -10.9 19
13 Westerlo 18 4 4 10 -5 -1.6 16
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 2 9 7 -6 -3.1 15
15 Beerschot VA 23 2 8 13 -24 -20.0 14
16 Kortrijk 22 3 2 17 -30 -16.2 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Anderlecht
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Thorgan Hazard
62′
🔁 S. Edozie
↦ M. Stroeykens
63′
T. Hazard 0–1
L. Augustinsson
S. Doumbia 🔁
↦ B. Bolingoli
70′
L. Kuavita 🔁
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
70′
A. Hountondji 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
70′
78′
🔁 K. Goto
↦ L. Vázquez
83′
🟨 Ludwig Augustinsson
85′
🟨 Jan-Carlo Simić
86′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ T. Hazard
86′
🔁 N. Angulo
↦ C. Huerta
I. Karamoko 🔁
↦ H. Lawrence
88′
88′
N. Angulo 0–2
S. Edozie
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Standard

4-4-2
31 G. Bazunu G
13 M. Fossey D
88 H. Lawrence D
25 I. Hautekiet D
5 B. Bolingoli D
8 L. Amani M
24 A. O'Neill M
6 S. Alexandropoulos M
17 I. Camara M
9 A. Zeqiri F
11 D. Eckert Ayensa F
Bench (8)
15 S. Doumbia
14 L. Kuavita
77 A. Hountondji
20 I. Karamoko
40 M. Epolo
41 A. Szalai
29 D. Dierckx
3 N. Ngoy

Coach: I. Leko

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
54 K. Sardella D
3 L. Hey D
4 J. Šimić D
6 L. Augustinsson D
32 L. Dendoncker M
23 M. Rits M
21 C. Huerta M
29 M. Stroeykens M
11 T. Hazard M
20 L. Vázquez F
Bench (9)
27 S. Edozie
42 K. Goto
18 M. Ashimeru
19 N. Angulo
16 M. Kikkenborg
17 T. Leoni
5 M. N'Diaye
34 Adryelson
14 J. Vertonghen

Coach: D. Hubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,53
U
3,31
B ✓
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.