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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Aarhus

S T S S U

1–1

Full-time

Viborg

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

45%

70%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,89 xG 0,77

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Viborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	21	13	3	5	+13	+4.5	42
2	FC Copenhagen	20	11	7	2	+15	+10.1	40
3	Aarhus	20	9	8	3	+20	+7.7	35
4	Nordsjaelland	21	10	5	6	+4	+7.1	35
5	Brondby	20	8	8	4	+12	+7.9	32
6	Randers FC	20	8	8	4	+11	+9.5	32
7	Silkeborg	21	8	8	5	+9	+4.0	32
8	Viborg	20	6	6	8	-2	-6.0	24
9	Aalborg	21	4	6	11	-21	-17.9	18
10	Sonderjyske	20	4	4	12	-22	-12.8	16
11	Lyngby	21	2	9	10	-12	-6.0	15
12	Vejle	21	2	4	15	-27	-8.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	9	0	1	+9	+4.1	27
2	Nordsjaelland	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.9	25
3	FC Copenhagen	10	7	3	0	+11	+7.0	24
4	Aarhus	10	6	4	0	+16	+6.1	22
5	Brondby	10	5	4	1	+8	+4.4	19
6	Viborg	10	5	2	3	+2	-4.5	17
7	Silkeborg	11	4	4	3	+2	+1.4	16
8	Randers FC	10	4	3	3	+5	+6.0	15
9	Aalborg	11	3	3	5	-9	-8.5	12
10	Sonderjyske	10	2	3	5	-11	-7.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	10	1	3	6	-11	-0.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+7	+2.6	16
3	FC Copenhagen	10	4	4	2	+4	+3.2	16
4	Midtjylland	11	4	3	4	+4	+0.3	15
5	Brondby	10	3	4	3	+4	+3.4	13
6	Aarhus	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.7	13
7	Nordsjaelland	10	3	1	6	-8	+1.1	10
8	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
9	Lyngby	11	1	4	6	-6	-5.4	7
10	Sonderjyske	10	2	1	7	-11	-5.0	7
11	Aalborg	10	1	3	6	-12	-9.5	6
12	Vejle	11	1	1	9	-16	-7.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.