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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
St. Gilloise
U S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Westerlo
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
36%
82%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
64%
Average goals
2,1
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4,28 xG 0,76
53% Possession 47%
29 Shots 10
13 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
15 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 7. · Westerlo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 8 3 1 +19 +12.5 27
2 Genk 12 8 2 2 +10 +14.3 26
3 Antwerp 11 7 3 1 +17 +5.2 24
4 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +15 +8.2 23
5 Gent 12 6 3 3 +13 -1.4 21
6 Dender 12 4 5 3 +0 -3.7 17
7 St. Gilloise 11 3 6 2 +3 +4.1 15
8 Mechelen 13 4 3 6 +0 -2.4 15
9 Standard 11 4 3 4 -8 -6.0 15
10 Charleroi 10 4 2 4 +1 +2.3 14
11 St Truiden 14 3 4 7 -16 -4.2 13
12 Westerlo 11 3 3 5 +0 +1.3 12
13 Cercle Brugge 13 3 3 7 -13 -7.8 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 7 3 -3 +2.3 10
15 Kortrijk 15 3 1 11 -23 -11.6 10
16 Beerschot VA 14 1 5 8 -15 -13.0 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Westerlo
-5′
🟨 Sinan Bolat
16′
🟨 Doğucan Haspolat
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
33′
1–0 F. Ivanović
40′
2–0 F. Ivanović
45′
Half-time 2–0
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
46′
48′
🟨 Luka Vušković
50′
🟨 Alfie Devine
3–0 F. Ivanović
P. David
52′
54′
J. Bos 3–1
D. Haspolat
60′
🔁 G. Yow
↦ A. Piedfort
60′
🔁 J. Alcócer
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ F. Ivanović
70′
F. Leysen 🔁
↦ K. Mac Allister
70′
76′
🔁 D. Mebude
↦ B. Reynolds
O. Niang 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
84′
Promise David 🟨
94′
A. Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ A. Khalaili
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
25 A. Khalaili M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
6 K. Van de Perre M
94 L. Lapoussin M
23 S. Boufal F
12 P. David F
9 F. Ivanović F
Bench (9)
10 A. Ait El Hadj
13 K. Rodríguez
48 F. Leysen
22 O. Niang
21 A. Castro-Montes
8 L. Amani
4 M. Rasmussen
1 V. Chambaere
7 E. Kabangu

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Westerlo

4-1-4-1
20 N. Gillekens G
22 B. Reynolds D
44 L. Vušković D
40 E. Bayram D
25 T. Rommens D
34 D. Haspolat M
5 J. Bos M
10 A. Devine M
46 A. Piedfort M
7 A. Sayyadmanesh M
9 M. Frigan F
Bench (9)
18 G. Yow
77 J. Alcócer
47 D. Mebude
33 R. Neustädter
15 S. Sydorchuk
39 T. Van den Keybus
17 R. Smekens
1 S. Bolat
11 M. Gümüşkaya

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,60
B
6,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.