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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Genk
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 41%
67%
15%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
83%
23%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
54%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,82 xG 1,81
41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 9 3 1 +20 +13.3 30
2 Antwerp 12 8 3 1 +19 +5.2 27
3 Anderlecht 14 7 5 2 +16 +9.0 26
4 Genk 12 8 2 2 +10 +14.3 26
5 Gent 14 7 4 3 +14 -0.0 25
6 Charleroi 12 6 2 4 +3 +3.3 20
7 Dender 14 5 5 4 -1 -3.2 20
8 St. Gilloise 12 4 6 2 +5 +7.6 18
9 Standard 13 5 3 5 -8 -7.5 18
10 Cercle Brugge 15 4 4 7 -12 -7.4 16
11 St Truiden 17 4 4 9 -18 -7.7 16
12 Mechelen 13 4 3 6 +0 -2.4 15
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 2 7 4 -2 +2.9 13
14 Westerlo 14 3 3 8 -4 -1.8 12
15 Kortrijk 17 3 1 13 -25 -11.6 10
16 Beerschot VA 15 1 5 9 -17 -14.1 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Matte Smets 🟥
6′
C. Cuesta 🔁
↦ N. Sattlberger
20′
30′
🟨 Youssef Maziz
40′
🟨 Takahiro Akimoto
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Hasan Kuruçay
1–0 J. Steuckers
48′
65′
🔁 E. Banzuzi
↦ T. Ominami
65′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ W. George
66′
🔁 S. Mitrović
↦ K. N’Dri
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ T. Arokodare
69′
N. Adedeji-Sternberg 🔁
↦ C. Bonsu Baah
69′
I. Bangoura 🔁
↦ K. Karetsas
70′
79′
🔁 H. Mendyl
↦ T. Akimoto
79′
🔁 M. Osifo
↦ T. Vlietinck
83′
🟨 Tobe Leysen
2–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
84′
Carlos Cuesta 🟨
87′
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ J. Steuckers
91′
96′
🟨 Manuel Osifo
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-1-4-1
39 M. Penders G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
24 N. Sattlberger M
23 J. Steuckers M
20 K. Karetsas M
8 B. Heynen M
7 C. Bonsu Baah M
99 T. Arokodare F
Bench (9)
46 C. Cuesta
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
21 I. Bangoura
27 K. Nkuba
17 P. Hrošovský
1 H. Van Crombrugge
44 J. Kongolo
11 L. Oyen

Coach: T. Fink

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
1 T. Leysen G
5 T. Ominami D
58 H. Kuruçay D
14 F. Ricca D
77 T. Vlietinck M
55 W. George M
8 S. Schrijvers M
30 T. Akimoto M
11 K. N’Dri F
10 Y. Maziz F
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
Bench (9)
6 E. Banzuzi
21 W. Balikwisha
23 S. Mitrović
20 H. Mendyl
25 M. Osifo
16 M. Prévot
28 E. Pletinckx
80 M. Heremans
40 R. Monticelli

Coach: C. Coleman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,12
B
5,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.