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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
St. Gilloise
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 18/22 matches
Win Ø 60%
78%
41%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
72%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
72%
59%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 5
7 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 18 14 3 1 +22 45
3 Antwerp 18 13 2 3 +19 41
4 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +15 34
5 St Truiden 22 9 7 6 +3 34
6 Gent 18 10 3 5 +14 33
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 9 6 7 +9 33
8 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
9 Charleroi 21 9 2 10 -5 29
10 Anderlecht 21 8 3 10 +5 27
11 Standard 18 8 3 7 +2 27
12 Kortrijk 24 8 3 13 -16 27
13 Mechelen 22 7 4 11 -9 25
14 Westerlo 19 6 5 8 -1 23
15 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -15 23
16 Eupen 23 7 2 14 -17 23
17 Oostende 24 5 3 16 -27 18
18 Seraing 21 4 3 14 -18 15
19 Seraing United 21 4 3 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Oud-Heverlee Leuven
25′
🟨 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
34′
🟨 Siebe Schrijvers
Half-time 0–0
Christian Burgess 🟨
62′
L. Lapoussin 🔁
↦ S. Adingra
65′
69′
🟨 Federico Ricca
1–0 G. Nilsson
L. Lapoussin
77′
81′
🔁 Mousa Al Tamari
↦ T. Vlietinck
81′
🔁 S. Kiyine
↦ S. Schrijvers
Cameron Puertas 🔁
↦ G. Nilsson
83′
O. El Azzouzi 🔁
↦ L. Amani
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
10 T. Teuma M
20 S. Lynen M
11 S. Adingra M
8 L. Amani F
29 G. Nilsson F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
94 L. Lapoussin
23 Cameron Puertas
6 O. El Azzouzi
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard
3 V. Boone
17 C. Terho

Coach: K. Geraerts

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
6 J. Dom M
24 C. De Norre M
8 S. Schrijvers M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
77 T. Vlietinck M
43 N. Nsingi F
Bench (7)
11 Mousa Al Tamari
13 S. Kiyine
4 K. Malinov
48 R. Sagrado
27 M. Keita
29 N. Jackers
23 J. Schingtienne

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,50
B
5,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.