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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

St Truiden

U T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Genk

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 37%

23%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

38%

67%

Both score Ø 48%

54%

42%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,9

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,76 xG 2,11

62% Possession 38%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Genk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	12	1	1	+21	+15.4	37
2	Club Brugge	16	10	3	3	+27	+27.4	33
3	Cercle Brugge	13	10	1	2	+15	+13.8	31
4	Anderlecht	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.5	28
5	Antwerp	13	6	6	1	+21	+14.0	24
6	Gent	13	6	5	2	+7	+7.2	23
7	Genk	12	6	4	2	+17	+18.7	22
8	Standard	15	4	6	5	-6	-9.9	18
9	Westerlo	16	4	4	8	-7	-9.0	16
10	RWD Molenbeek	16	4	4	8	-19	-18.4	16
11	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	-3	-4.0	15
12	St Truiden	13	3	5	5	-8	-5.4	14
13	Charleroi	18	3	5	10	-15	-11.7	14
14	Kortrijk	18	3	3	12	-28	-17.4	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	2	4	9	-11	-5.8	10
16	Eupen	16	2	2	12	-24	-24.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	7	6	1	0	+11	+8.8	19
2	Antwerp	8	5	3	0	+19	+13.4	18
3	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+14	+8.4	18
4	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+15	+13.0	17
5	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
6	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
7	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
8	Charleroi	9	3	3	3	-3	+0.3	12
9	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.1	11
10	Standard	8	3	2	3	+0	-3.0	11
11	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-5	-7.0	11
12	Westerlo	7	3	0	4	-2	-4.2	9
13	Kortrijk	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.6	9
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	2	2	3	+3	-2.4	8
15	St Truiden	7	2	2	3	-5	-1.6	8
16	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-10	-9.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	7	3	3	1	+4	+2.7	12
4	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.0	12
5	Genk	5	3	1	1	+8	+6.9	10
6	Gent	6	2	2	2	+0	+2.3	8
7	Westerlo	9	1	4	4	-5	-4.9	7
8	Standard	7	1	4	2	-6	-6.9	7
9	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
10	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-3	-3.7	6
11	RWD Molenbeek	8	1	2	5	-14	-11.4	5
12	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.9	4
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-14	-14.4	4
14	Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	-20	-12.8	3
15	Charleroi	9	0	2	7	-12	-12.0	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.