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Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

St Truiden

T T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

60%

25%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,57 xG 1,34

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 14. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	6	3	2	1	+4	+0.9	11
2	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.1	10
3	Genk	5	3	1	1	+1	+8.3	10
4	Charleroi	5	3	0	2	+3	+2.0	9
5	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.7	8
6	St. Gilloise	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
7	Standard	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
8	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
9	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
10	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.1	6
12	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
13	Kortrijk	5	1	0	4	-7	-1.7	3
14	St Truiden	5	0	2	3	-9	-4.4	2
15	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.4	1
16	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-7	-9.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
3	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Charleroi	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.0	6
5	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	+2.0	5
6	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
7	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
9	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.8	4
10	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
11	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
12	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
13	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.6	2
14	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1
15	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.7	0
16	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
2	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.2	6
3	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	+5.5	6
4	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
5	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
10	St. Gilloise	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
13	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-6	-5.6	1
14	Beerschot VA	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.1	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.