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Referee: L Visser

St Truiden

T T T T U

0–0

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

3,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,34 xG 1,14

51% Possession 49%

5 Shots 13

0 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 16. · St. Gilloise 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.4	8
2	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.4	7
3	St. Gilloise	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.0	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
5	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
6	Charleroi	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.1	6
8	Westerlo	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
9	Club Brugge	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
10	Standard	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.2	4
11	Genk	3	1	1	1	-1	+3.4	4
12	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
13	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.0	3
14	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.4	1
15	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
16	St Truiden	4	0	1	3	-9	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
3	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
5	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
6	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
8	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
9	Kortrijk	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
11	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
14	St Truiden	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
15	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	3
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
10	St. Gilloise	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
13	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
15	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.