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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

St Truiden

T T U U S

1–1

Full-time

Gent

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 37%

17%

57%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

57%

Both score Ø 55%

67%

43%

Average goals

3,7

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,03 xG 1,75

50% Possession 50%

30 Shots 14

12 Shots on target 3

11 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 11

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 14. · Gent 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	5	1	2	+5	+11.9	16
2	Antwerp	6	5	0	1	+13	+3.3	15
3	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+6	+4.9	14
4	Anderlecht	7	3	4	0	+6	+1.8	13
5	Gent	7	4	0	3	+6	-1.8	12
6	St. Gilloise	7	3	3	1	+5	+6.4	12
7	Dender	8	3	3	2	+0	-0.9	12
8	Club Brugge	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.9	11
9	Westerlo	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.4	8
10	Standard	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.1	8
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	4	2	-2	+1.0	7
12	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.9	7
13	Kortrijk	8	2	1	5	-9	-5.6	7
14	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-8	-5.2	5
15	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-11	-9.2	4
16	Beerschot VA	8	0	2	6	-12	-9.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.3	10
2	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
3	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+11	+3.1	9
4	Gent	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.9	9
5	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.1	9
6	Anderlecht	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.3	9
7	Westerlo	4	2	1	1	+3	+4.5	7
8	Standard	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.0	7
9	Kortrijk	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.5	6
10	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.1	5
12	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.4	5
13	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
14	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
15	Mechelen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
16	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
2	Dender	4	2	1	1	-2	-1.5	7
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
5	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
6	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
8	St. Gilloise	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
9	Gent	3	1	0	2	-1	-3.6	3
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
11	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
12	Standard	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
13	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.1	1
14	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-10	-6.8	1
15	Cercle Brugge	5	0	1	4	-11	-7.2	1
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.