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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Anderlecht
S T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Genk
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 53%
59%
46%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
54%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 1,67
46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 18 5 4 +46 +35.7 59
2 St. Gilloise 27 18 4 5 +29 +28.8 58
3 Anderlecht 27 16 7 4 +24 +13.8 55
4 Cercle Brugge 27 16 5 6 +22 +7.8 53
5 Gent 26 14 7 5 +25 +17.5 49
6 Genk 26 12 8 6 +13 +25.5 44
7 Mechelen 27 12 6 9 +5 +2.4 42
8 Antwerp 27 11 7 9 +17 +15.8 40
9 Charleroi 30 9 8 13 -15 -10.5 35
10 St Truiden 27 7 9 11 -16 -13.3 30
11 Westerlo 28 6 9 13 -8 -11.9 27
12 Standard 28 5 12 11 -16 -12.6 27
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 6 8 13 -14 -8.3 26
14 RWD Molenbeek 30 6 7 17 -36 -32.4 25
15 Kortrijk 30 6 5 19 -37 -24.9 23
16 Eupen 30 5 3 22 -39 -33.3 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,56
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.