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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Liverpool
T S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Bournemouth
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 58%
76%
40%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
68%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 2. · Bournemouth 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 26 20 2 4 +48 62
2 Liverpool 25 19 5 1 +41 62
3 Tottenham 25 19 0 6 +27 57
4 Man United 26 15 6 5 +17 51
5 Chelsea 25 15 5 5 +22 50
6 Arsenal 25 14 5 6 +15 47
7 Wolves 25 11 5 9 +1 38
8 Watford 25 9 7 9 -1 34
9 Everton 26 9 6 11 -2 33
10 Bournemouth 25 10 3 12 -7 33
11 Leicester 25 9 5 11 -1 32
12 West Ham 25 9 5 11 -7 32
13 Brighton 25 7 6 12 -9 27
14 Crystal Palace 25 7 5 13 -7 26
15 Newcastle 25 6 6 13 -12 24
16 Southampton 25 5 9 11 -15 24
17 Burnley 25 6 6 13 -20 24
18 Cardiff 25 6 4 15 -24 22
19 Fulham 26 4 5 17 -33 17
20 Huddersfield 25 2 5 18 -33 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.