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Premier League

Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Bournemouth

S T T T T

0–3

Full-time

Liverpool

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 60%

27%

93%

Points per game

1,1

2,9

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

60%

87%

Both score Ø 77%

67%

87%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

26% Possession 74%

3 Shots 21

0 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 15. · Liverpool 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	15	14	1	0	+23	43
2	Leicester	15	11	2	2	+26	35
3	Man City	15	10	2	3	+26	32
4	Chelsea	16	9	2	5	+7	29
5	Wolves	15	5	8	2	+4	23
6	Man United	15	5	6	4	+5	21
7	Crystal Palace	15	6	3	6	-4	21
8	Tottenham	15	5	5	5	+2	20
9	Sheffield United	15	4	7	4	+2	19
10	Arsenal	15	4	7	4	-2	19
11	Newcastle	15	5	4	6	-7	19
12	Burnley	15	5	3	7	-3	18
13	Brighton	15	5	3	7	-4	18
14	Everton	16	5	2	9	-9	17
15	Bournemouth	15	4	4	7	-3	16
16	West Ham	15	4	4	7	-8	16
17	Aston Villa	15	4	3	8	-2	15
18	Southampton	15	4	3	8	-16	15
19	Norwich	15	3	2	10	-16	11
20	Watford	15	1	5	9	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	8	8	0	0	+15	24
2	Leicester	8	7	1	0	+14	22
3	Man City	7	5	1	1	+15	16
4	Man United	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Chelsea	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Arsenal	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Wolves	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Everton	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Burnley	8	4	0	4	-1	12
11	Aston Villa	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Brighton	7	3	2	2	+2	11
13	Crystal Palace	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Newcastle	7	2	4	1	+1	10
15	Sheffield United	8	3	1	4	+0	10
16	Bournemouth	7	2	3	2	+0	9
17	West Ham	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Norwich	7	2	1	4	-6	7
19	Southampton	8	2	1	5	-14	7
20	Watford	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	7	6	1	0	+8	19
2	Man City	8	5	1	2	+11	16
3	Chelsea	8	5	0	3	+3	15
4	Leicester	7	4	1	2	+12	13
5	Wolves	7	2	4	1	+2	10
6	Crystal Palace	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Sheffield United	7	1	6	0	+2	9
8	West Ham	8	2	3	3	-4	9
9	Newcastle	8	3	0	5	-8	9
10	Southampton	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Bournemouth	8	2	1	5	-3	7
12	Brighton	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Burnley	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Man United	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Arsenal	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Tottenham	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Watford	8	1	2	5	-12	5
18	Aston Villa	8	1	1	6	-5	4
19	Everton	8	1	1	6	-9	4
20	Norwich	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.