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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Waregem
T U T T S
2–3
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 35/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
20%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 66%
66%
66%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 15. · Cercle Brugge 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
3 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +29 70
4 Gent 29 17 5 7 +34 56
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 30 11 10 9 +6 43
13 Mechelen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Kortrijk 35 10 7 18 -20 37
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Cercle Brugge
6′
H. Siquet 0–1
Y. Gboho
8′
A. Ueda 0–2
Y. Gboho
29′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
Jelle Vossen 🟨
36′
Ruud Vormer ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
43′
45′
🟨 Boris Popović
Half-time 0–2
Alieu Fadera 🟨
49′
51′
ℹ️ Olivier Deman
VAR: Penalty confirmed
54′
ℹ️ Ayase Ueda
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
🔁 D. Hotić
↦ H. Siquet
1–2 L. Willen
59′
2–2 A. Ndour
A. Sissako
68′
72′
🟨 Leonardo Lopes
74′
🔁 J. Marcelin
↦ J. Daland
74′
🔁 A. Francis
↦ Leonardo Lopes
74′
🔁 K. Denkey
↦ Y. Gboho
78′
🟨 Abu Francis
S. Braem 🔁
↦ T. Derijck
82′
83′
T. Somers 2–3
K. Denkey
86′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
C. Brüls 🔁
↦ N. Dismas
88′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
38 L. Bostyn G
19 K. Fila D
4 T. Derijck D
31 L. Willen D
26 N. Dismas D
11 A. Ndour M
25 R. Vormer M
6 A. Sissako M
7 A. Fadera M
93 Zinho Gano F
9 J. Vossen F
Bench (7)
34 S. Braem
12 C. Brüls
20 N. Rommens
18 M. Tambedou
30 S. Van Damme
54 A. Harinck
3 Borja López

Coach: F. D'Hollander

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 R. Majecki G
5 B. Popović D
66 C. Ravych D
4 J. Daland D
41 H. Siquet M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
23 O. Deman M
34 T. Somers F
36 A. Ueda F
11 Y. Gboho F
Bench (7)
14 C. Vanhoutte
10 D. Hotić
24 J. Marcelin
17 A. Francis
9 K. Denkey
7 E. Kehrer
21 Warleson

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U
3,73
B ✓
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.