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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Waregem
U U U T T
2–6
Full-time
Gent
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 30/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
20%
57%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
53%
48%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
39%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 16. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 25 20 4 1 +45 64
2 Antwerp 25 18 4 3 +33 58
3 St. Gilloise 24 18 3 3 +25 57
4 Club Brugge 24 13 6 5 +17 45
5 Charleroi 30 13 5 12 +1 44
6 Gent 23 13 3 7 +17 42
7 Anderlecht 29 12 6 11 +10 42
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 31 11 9 11 +7 42
9 Cercle Brugge 24 10 9 5 +8 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 9 11 -4 39
11 Westerlo 24 10 6 8 +6 36
12 Mechelen 30 10 6 14 -12 36
13 Standard 24 10 4 10 -1 34
14 Kortrijk 31 9 6 16 -18 33
15 Eupen 31 8 6 17 -21 30
16 Waregem 30 6 9 15 -22 27
17 Oostende 31 6 7 18 -29 25
18 Seraing 29 5 4 20 -31 19
19 Seraing United 29 5 4 20 -31 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Gent
B. Sørmo 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
10′
Alieu Fadera 🟨
22′
37′
J. De Sart 0–1
K. Piątkowski
41′
A. Castro-Montes 0–2
M. Samoise
Half-time 1–2
1–2 T. Derijck
N. Rommens
52′
53′
G. Orban 1–3
A. Sissako 🔁
↦ N. Rommens
58′
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ B. Sørmo
58′
63′
🟨 Alessio Castro-Montes
2–3 J. Vossen
A. Ndour
65′
68′
G. Orban 2–4
69′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ A. Castro-Montes
69′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ H. Cuypers
69′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ S. Kums
75′
G. Orban 2–5
M. Fofana
76′
🔁 J. Hauge
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
83′
G. Orban 2–6
L. Depoitre
K. Palumets 🔁
↦ A. Fadera
84′
W. De Buyser 🔁
↦ N. Dismas
84′
88′
🔁 R. Van Den Bergh
↦ J. De Sart
Full-time 2–6

Line-ups

Waregem

3-4-2-1
1 S. Bossut G
19 K. Fila D
4 T. Derijck D
31 L. Willen D
14 A. Ciranni M
20 N. Rommens M
12 C. Brüls M
26 N. Dismas M
9 J. Vossen F
7 A. Fadera F
93 Zinho Gano F
Bench (7)
22 B. Sørmo
6 A. Sissako
11 A. Ndour
16 K. Palumets
15 W. De Buyser
38 L. Bostyn
59 D. Demuynck

Coach: M. Leye

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
5 M. Ngadeu D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
19 M. Fofana
29 L. Depoitre
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
10 J. Hauge
27 R. Van Den Bergh
33 D. Roef
38 B. Agbor

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U
3,54
B ✓
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.