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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
3–2
Full-time
Standard
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 35/28 matches
Win Ø 42%
37%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8. · Standard 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
3 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +29 70
4 Gent 29 17 5 7 +34 56
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 30 11 10 9 +6 43
13 Mechelen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Kortrijk 35 10 7 18 -20 37
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
39′
🟨 Steven Alzate
1–0 N. Opoku
M. Maertens
43′
Half-time 1–1
55′
M. Bokadi 1–1
S. Alzate
63′
🟨 Arnaud Bodart
2–1 J. Þorsteinsson
63′
3–1 J. Þorsteinsson
M. Maertens
67′
72′
🔁 J. Laursen
↦ C. Çanak
72′
🔁 S. Perica
↦ N. Ohio
72′
🔁 O. Davida
↦ A. Dønnum
72′
🔁 L. Noubi
↦ M. Bokadi
80′
🔁 I. Hautekiet
↦ K. Laifis
R. Sagrado 🔁
↦ H. Mendyl
88′
E. Toku 🔁
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
90′
91′
F. Melegoni 3–2
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ Mousa Al Tamari
93′
N. Nsingi 🔁
↦ N. Opoku
93′
J. Dom 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
20 H. Mendyl D
24 C. De Norre M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
33 M. Maertens M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
21 N. Opoku F
Bench (7)
52 R. Sagrado
77 T. Vlietinck
30 E. Toku
43 N. Nsingi
6 J. Dom
29 N. Jackers
5 P. Ngawa

Coach: M. Brys

Standard

3-4-3
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
20 M. Bokadi D
34 K. Laifis D
13 M. Fossey M
21 F. Melegoni M
14 S. Alzate M
11 A. Dønnum M
61 C. Çanak F
10 N. Ohio F
22 W. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
38 J. Laursen
28 S. Perica
17 O. Davida
51 L. Noubi
25 I. Hautekiet
46 R. Berberi
30 L. Henkinet

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,60
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,29
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.