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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Tennøy
Moss
S S T U U
1–2
Full-time
Sogndal
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 12. · Sogndal 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ranheim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Jerv 3 2 0 1 +1 6
3 hodd 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 Start 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Raufoss 3 1 1 1 +3 4
6 Sandnes ULF 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Sogndal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Fredrikstad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Bryne 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Kongsvinger 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Kristiansund 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Moss 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Asane 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Mjondalen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Skeid 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 KFUM Oslo 2 0 1 1 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Sogndal
K. Strande 🟨
32′
37′
J. Jónsson 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Ali 🔁
↦ A. Håpnes
59′
64′
🔁 E. Kupen
↦ S. Ørjasæter
A. Askar 🔁
↦ L. Callaku
72′
S. Pedersen 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
72′
74′
V. Ingimundarson 0–2
75′
🔁 A. Díaz
↦ E. Flataker
79′
🔁 K. Steinset
↦ J. Jónsson
L. Getz 🔁
↦ M. Andresen
87′
I. Hoffmann 🔁
↦ A. Hussein
87′
1–2 H. Gjesdal
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
4 H. Gjesdal
3 K. Strande
25 A. Hussein
2 M. Andresen
6 K. Makosso
20 A. Potur
15 A. Håpnes
10 L. Callaku
23 N. Alexandersson
14 Cláudio Braga
Bench (9)
16 A. Ali
7 A. Askar
19 S. Pedersen
18 L. Getz
21 I. Hoffmann
5 I. Kukleci
11 K. Kalabatama
12 E. Myrhaug
26 O. Kjeilen Stavdal

Coach: T. Myhre

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 D. Arrocha
3 M. Gueye
17 M. Sjølstad
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
20 I. Twum
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
27 S. Ørjasæter
30 E. Flataker
Bench (5)
9 E. Kupen
99 A. Díaz
29 K. Steinset
32 M. Øren
35 D. Saetren

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.