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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Cercle Brugge
S T U S T
3–1
Full-time
St Truiden
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 28/34 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 11. · St Truiden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 28 21 5 2 +44 68
2 Antwerp 28 20 4 4 +35 64
3 St. Gilloise 27 20 4 3 +27 64
4 Gent 28 17 4 7 +34 55
5 Club Brugge 28 16 6 6 +23 54
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 33 15 7 11 +15 52
8 St Truiden 34 13 9 12 +2 48
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 12 9 13 +7 45
10 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
11 Cercle Brugge 28 11 10 7 +7 43
12 Westerlo 27 11 7 9 +6 40
13 Kortrijk 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Mechelen 33 10 6 17 -19 36
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 34 6 7 21 -37 25
18 Seraing 32 5 4 23 -39 19
19 Seraing United 32 5 4 23 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
Abu Francis 🟨
8′
Jesper Daland 🟨
22′
1–0 A. Ueda
41′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Ueda
T. Somers
47′
62′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ E. Bocat
62′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ D. Hashioka
62′
🔁 O. Dumont
↦ R. Reitz
68′
G. Bruno 2–1
72′
🔁 D. Hayashi
↦ T. Hara
K. Denkey 🔁
↦ H. Siquet
73′
H. Van der Bruggen 🔁
↦ A. Francis
73′
D. Hotić 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
76′
82′
🔁 F. Kaya
↦ S. Okazaki
3–1 K. Denkey
A. Ueda
84′
Christiaan Ravych 🟨
87′
R. Decostere 🔁
↦ T. Somers
88′
C. Vanhoutte 🔁
↦ Leonardo Lopes
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

3-4-2-1
1 R. Majecki G
5 B. Popović D
66 C. Ravych D
4 J. Daland D
41 H. Siquet M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
17 A. Francis M
23 O. Deman M
11 Y. Gboho F
34 T. Somers F
36 A. Ueda F
Bench (7)
9 K. Denkey
28 H. Van der Bruggen
10 D. Hotić
8 R. Decostere
14 C. Vanhoutte
24 J. Marcelin
21 Warleson

Coach: M. Muslić

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
4 D. Hashioka D
16 M. Smets D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 R. Bauer D
77 E. Bocat D
30 S. Okazaki M
27 F. Boya M
13 R. Reitz M
9 T. Hara F
91 G. Bruno F
Bench (7)
7 A. Koita
22 W. Janssens
14 O. Dumont
8 D. Hayashi
11 F. Kaya
12 J. Coppens
19 S. Van Dessel

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,81
B
4,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.