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Referee: J Lardot

Cercle Brugge

U U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Genk

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

52%

72%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,6

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 9

3 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 9. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	25	20	4	1	+45	64
2	Antwerp	25	18	4	3	+33	58
3	St. Gilloise	24	18	3	3	+25	57
4	Gent	24	14	3	7	+21	45
5	Club Brugge	24	13	6	5	+17	45
6	Anderlecht	30	13	6	11	+12	45
7	Charleroi	30	13	5	12	+1	44
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	31	11	9	11	+7	42
9	Cercle Brugge	25	10	9	6	+6	39
10	St Truiden	30	10	9	11	-4	39
11	Westerlo	24	10	6	8	+6	36
12	Mechelen	30	10	6	14	-12	36
13	Standard	24	10	4	10	-1	34
14	Kortrijk	31	9	6	16	-18	33
15	Eupen	31	8	6	17	-21	30
16	Waregem	31	6	9	16	-26	27
17	Oostende	31	6	7	18	-29	25
18	Seraing	29	5	4	20	-31	19
19	Seraing United	29	5	4	20	-31	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	12	1	0	+29	37
2	Antwerp	12	11	1	0	+25	34
3	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+13	28
4	Gent	12	8	2	2	+11	26
5	Mechelen	16	7	5	4	+4	26
6	Club Brugge	12	7	4	1	+15	25
7	Anderlecht	16	7	3	6	+7	24
8	Cercle Brugge	12	6	5	1	+11	23
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	6	5	4	+8	23
10	Charleroi	15	7	1	7	+3	22
11	Westerlo	13	6	3	4	+11	21
12	Standard	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	St Truiden	14	4	4	6	-4	16
14	Eupen	16	4	4	8	-8	16
15	Oostende	15	5	1	9	-9	16
16	Kortrijk	15	4	4	7	-11	16
17	Waregem	16	4	4	8	-14	16
18	Seraing	15	1	3	11	-16	6
19	Seraing United	15	1	3	11	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Genk	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	Antwerp	13	7	3	3	+8	24
4	St Truiden	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	-2	22
6	Anderlecht	14	6	3	5	+5	21
7	Club Brugge	12	6	2	4	+2	20
8	Gent	12	6	1	5	+10	19
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	5	4	7	-1	19
10	Standard	13	5	3	5	-3	18
11	Kortrijk	16	5	2	9	-7	17
12	Cercle Brugge	13	4	4	5	-5	16
13	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	-5	15
14	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-13	14
15	Seraing	14	4	1	9	-15	13
16	Seraing United	14	4	1	9	-15	13
17	Waregem	15	2	5	8	-12	11
18	Mechelen	14	3	1	10	-16	10
19	Oostende	16	1	6	9	-20	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.